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Memory Big-3 Terminal

Samsung · SK hynix · Micron — DRAM & NAND $/GB · contract price · HBM · capex
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Haelangdal Research · RAMpocalypse

Memory Big-3 TrackerDRAM & NAND · Samsung · SK hynix · Micron

LIVE
Data 2026-07-10
Earnings: 2Q26 prelim (Samsung, Jul 7) · 1Q26 (SK) / FQ3’26 (Micron)
Samsung005930
₩285,000+2.52%
Mkt Cap
~₩1,685T
2Q26 Rev (prelim)
₩171T
Op. Income (prelim)
₩89.4T
12M FWD PER
≈9x
SK hynix000660
₩2,180,000-0.27%
Mkt Cap
~₩1,591T
1Q26 Rev
₩52.58T
Op. Income
₩37.61T
12M FWD PER
≈9x
MicronMU
$991.64+4.52%
Mkt Cap
~$1.12T
FQ3 Rev
$41.46B
Op. Income
$33.7B
12M FWD PER
≈10x
Deep track

Toggle DRAM and NAND to read $/GB history, revenue, cycle position and the high-margin frontier symmetrically across both axes.

AStructure — 40 years of DRAM price

Long-run price per GB. Switch period and scale to explore.

DRAM price/GB (1980→2026, log) — first rebound after a 7,000× fall

USD per GB · nominal lowest retail

Period
Scale
$1$10$100$1K$10K$100K$1M$10M'80'88'96'04'12'2026 Q1
DRAM $/GB (nominal, McCallum-derived)
From $6.6M per GB to $1.84 in 2023 — a fall of over 7,000×. The decline already bent from −36%/yr to −15%/yr after 2010, and for the first time since the 2023 bottom the direction turned up. Not the end of structural deflation, but a cycle reversal.
BWhy this cycle is different

Price shock vs past down-cycles, and inventory dried out.

Cycle shock comparison (DRAM price, %)

-100-500501001501995→97supercycle2000→01dot-com2008 GFC2018→19down2022→23crash2023→26rebound
The past five down-cycles were price collapses of −48~−84%. This time it runs the other way — +170% off the bottom. The first cycle pointing up.

Maker inventory days (DIO) — from filings, lower is tighter

050100150200normal ~120d2023 glutpeakSamsung*MicronSK hynix
Maker inventory days have fallen from the 2023 glut peak (Micron 182, SK hynix ~200) to Micron 120 days, SK hynix ~125 and Samsung ~95 — broadly at the ~120-day norm. The glut has cleared and inventories have normalized. (Samsung is company-level, DS not split out.)
Play cycle2Q264/4
3Q254Q251Q262Q26

Hit ▶ or drag the handle — the revenue, OPM and contract-price charts unfold up to that quarter, the RAMpocalypse cycle playing out before your eyes.

1Quarterly revenue trend

Converted to KRW trillion (USD 1,480) · Micron fiscal quarter · Samsung is the DS (semiconductor) division

Samsung DSSKMicron (FQ)
0T30T60T90T3Q254Q251Q262Q26
Revenue scaled up vertically in one year — Samsung DS 33→82T, SK 25→53T, Micron 17→61T. The AI-memory price surge pulled all three at once.
2Quarterly operating margin

Quarterly OPM (%)

Samsung DSSKMicron (FQ)
0%25%50%75%100%3Q254Q251Q262Q26
SK 72%, Micron 81%, Samsung DS ~66% — memory repricing flows straight into margins. A structurally high-margin phase where cycle margins now exceed prior peaks.
3DRAM · NAND revenue

TrendForce quarterly revenue (USD bn)

DRAM revenue · 4Q25 → 1Q26

SamsungSKMicron
0102030404Q251Q26

NAND revenue · 1Q26 (vendor)

0481216SamsungSK groupKioxiaMicron
DRAM scale stays Samsung > SK > Micron; 1Q26 price spikes lifted all of them. NAND ranks Samsung · SK group (+Solidigm) · Kioxia — Samsung is #1 by scale.
4Memory contract prices — the cycle driver

TrendForce contract-price QoQ change (%)

DRAMNAND
0%25%50%75%100%1Q262Q26
DRAM contract prices jumped +90~95% in 1Q26 (a record), then +58~63% in 2Q, while NAND accelerated +55~60% → +70~75%, overtaking DRAM for the first time this cycle. The 3Q26 outlook is DRAM +13~18% · NAND +10~15% — the rise runs a third quarter, but the slope bends.
CDRAM’s AI frontier — HBM

HBM share, market size, and device price pass-through.

HBM share of Micron DRAM revenue (%) — 3× in two years

0102030405020232025

DRAM market size ($B) — 25% of all chips by 2026E

05010015020020252026E

Device price pass-through (memory cost cited, $ midpoint)

0100200300Apple Mac/iPad$100~300Dell PC32GB configXbox consolefrom Aug 1
Higher memory prices flow into finished-device prices — Apple, Dell and Xbox all raised prices on 6/25 citing memory costs. As makers reclaim pricing power, downstream passes it to consumers.
5HBM · Capex · supply

AI-memory competition · capex investment by cycle · shortage persists

HBM4 competition

SK hynixHBM4 leader
~70%
SamsungHBM4 mass shipment · share recovery
Recovery
MicronHBM4 rev $1B+, 12-hi ramp
Expanding

2026 Capex (USD bn)

081624SKSamsungMicron

Supply — structural shortage

Shortage persistsshortage runway
~late 2027 · 2028
New fab meaningful outputmeaningful output
Unlikely before 2028
2026 supply growthIDC · DRAM/NAND
+16% / +17%
SK 2027 demandPre-booked, supply gap widens
Booked
Three-firm 26E combined Op. incomeThis report’s estimate
~$480B
All three concentrate capacity on HBM and servers → commodity/legacy supply stays constrained. An excess-demand structure where 2027 demand is already pre-booked.
Source. Each firm’s IR·8-K (rev·OP·OPM, 4Q25~FQ3’26; Samsung 2Q26 prelim on Jul 7) · TrendForce (DRAM/NAND rev·contract prices) · IDC (supply growth) · each firm’s guidance (Capex·HBM). Samsung DS 1Q26 OP/OPM is estimated as the split is not yet disclosed; Samsung 2Q26 is a company-level preliminary print (no segment split). FX USD 1,480 KRW. Maker inventory days (DIO) are from filings — Micron FQ3’26 and SK hynix / Samsung quarterly reports.
A data-tracking tool, not investment advice · as of the labeled date · © Haelangdal Research · newmoneymoves.io
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