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Browse daily market news and key issues in a timeline

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8/3(Mon)
Latest
KOSPI6,257.45-5.12%
S&P 5007,600.5+1.48%
NASDAQ25,914+2.13%
USD/KRW1,430-0.40%
BTC63,420-0.07%
VIX15.70-1.80%

The KOSPI caught its breath, giving back 5.12% to 6,257. Amazon crossed $3 trillion for the first time and the S&P 500 closed above 7,600, confirming the CSP-winner setup after the unwind. Trump's canceled Iran strike sent oil down 5%, adding fuel to the rally.

Key Issues

KOSPI -5.12% to 6,257 — Pullback After Record Surge
Foreign and institutional selling clawed back part of the record gain while the KOSDAQ rose 2%.
Amazon Tops $3 Trillion — CSP-Winner Setup Confirmed
Amazon jumped 4.6% to cross $3 trillion for the first time as the S&P 500 closed above 7,600.
Trump Cancels Iran Strike — Oil Drops 5%
News of revived talks knocked oil down 5%, supporting risk appetite.
Dollar-Won at 1,429.8 — Squeeze-Driven Dollar Weakness
The dollar-won fell 5.8 won to 1,429.8 as yen-led dollar weakness ran on.
7/31(Fri)
KOSPI6,595.45+17.91%
S&P 5007,489.72+0.70%
NASDAQ25,373.85+1.00%
USD/KRW1,421-1.50%
BTC62,814-2.95%
VIX15.99-6.44%

The KOSPI exploded 17.91% to 6,595, its largest gain on record, as forced selling burned out. The test ahead is whether this is a 1998 meltup or a 2000 bear-rally trap, and the divider is capex and earnings. Amazon lifting capex is an early tilt toward the 1998 case, but in 2000 the first quarter looked fine too.

Key Issues

KOSPI Explodes 17.91% — Largest One-Day Gain on Record
The KOSPI surged 17.91% to 6,595, its largest one-day gain on record, tripping a buy-side sidecar.
Samsung Up 26.8%, SK Hynix Up 29.9%
Samsung jumped 26.8% and SK Hynix 29.9% after Samsung flagged a deepening global memory shortage on its call.
20 Trillion Won AI Chip Fund + Foreign Buying Flip
The government unveiled a 20 trillion won AI and chip sovereign fund as foreigners flipped to net buyers of 1.7 trillion won.
Yen Carry Unwind — Yen-Dollar Hits 158 Intraday
Despite a BOJ hold, QT-tightening signals and suspected intervention sent yen-dollar to 158 intraday as the carry unwind ran on.
The Test Ahead — 1998 Meltup vs 2000 Bear Rally
After forced selling burned out, the rebound splits between a 1998 meltup and a 2000 bear-rally trap, with capex the divider.
7/30(Thu)
KOSPI5,593.56-1.23%
S&P 5007,437.63+1.66%
NASDAQ25,122.18+2.78%
USD/KRW1,442-0.75%
BTC64,743+1.31%
VIX17.09-17.28%

The KOSPI fell 1.23% to 5,593, a fourth straight drop, pressed by a hawkish FOMC and doubts over AI profitability. Overnight, Wall Street flipped — a Microsoft earnings surprise lifted the Nasdaq 2.78% and the VIX collapsed to 17. The forced-selling leverage unwind ended as Citadel absorbed the book, and Amazon raised capex guidance to 220 billion dollars.

Key Issues

KOSPI Falls a Fourth Day — 5,593
The KOSPI fell 1.23% to 5,593 for a fourth straight drop, with Samsung Electro-Mechanics down 14.6% and SK Hynix down 5.6%.
Microsoft Earnings Surprise — Nasdaq Rebounds 2.78%
Microsoft jumped 15% on a beat of 90 billion dollars in revenue and 43% Azure growth, pulling the Nasdaq up 2.78%.
Leverage Unwind Ends — Citadel Absorbs the Book
Citadel absorbed the entire forced-sale book from Aschenbrenner fund 4x leverage, ending the liquidation.
Amazon Tops 200 Billion Dollars + Raises Capex
Amazon topped 200 billion dollars in revenue for the first time and raised capex guidance to 220 billion dollars.
Foreigners Buy 1.34 Trillion Won, Retail Sells 1.43 Trillion
Foreigners flipped to net buyers of 1.34 trillion won, while retail investors net-sold 1.43 trillion won.
7/29(Wed)
KOSPI5,663.24-5.98%
S&P 5007,316.15-1.52%
NASDAQ24,442.94-1.74%
USD/KRW1,444-1.40%
BTC63,878+0.01%
VIX20.66+13.45%

The KOSPI fell 5.98% to 5,663, tripping a circuit breaker for a second straight day. AI demand is intact, yet the market sells on good news and bad alike — a death spiral. Policy variables now outweigh market logic.

Key Issues

KOSPI Trips Circuit Breaker Two Days Running — 5,663
The KOSPI plunged 5.98% to 5,663, triggering a circuit breaker for a second straight session.
FOMC Holds a Fifth Time, Three Dissent for a Hike
The Fed held at 3.50-3.75%, but three of nine members voted for a 25bp hike.
Long Rates Climb Further — 30-Year at 5.19%
A hawkish tone lifted the 10-year to 4.657% and the 30-year to 5.193%, pricing an 80% odds of a September hike.
Big Tech Splits — MSFT Solid, META Sinks
Azure grew 43% to keep MSFT firm, while META fell 10% after hours on an EPS miss.
Selloffs Rotate Into 2x Leverage — Market Seizes Up
Investors keep dumping single stocks to rotate into 2x leverage, leaving the market dysfunctional.
7/28(Tue)
KOSPI6,023.66-10.84%
S&P 5007,428.78+0.21%
NASDAQ24,876.91-0.22%
USD/KRW1,464+0.44%
BTC63,871+0.23%
VIX18.21-2.46%

The KOSPI crashed 10.84% to 6,023, triggering a sidecar and a circuit breaker at once. A report of China ramping up DUV lithography fanned fears for Korean chips. Samsung fell 13% and SK Hynix 15%.

Key Issues

KOSPI Crashes 10.84% — Historic Circuit Breaker
The KOSPI crashed 10.84% to 6,023, triggering a sidecar and a circuit breaker simultaneously.
Samsung and SK Hynix Collapse — Down 13% and 15%
Samsung fell 13.4% and SK Hynix 14.7%, leading the index lower.
China DUV Ramp Report — Korean Chip Threat
A report of China ramping DUV tools, on top of the CXMT listing shock, fueled the threat narrative.
US Long Rates Spike — 10-Year Tops 4.67%
The 10-year jumped 7bp above 4.67% and the 30-year hit its highest since 2007.
Foreigners Net-Sell 1.76 Trillion Won
Foreign investors net-sold 1.76 trillion won, pulling the trigger on the crash.
7/27(Mon)
KOSPI6,755.75+0.97%
S&P 5007,413.18+0.02%
NASDAQ24,932.08-0.18%
USD/KRW1,458-1.09%
BTC63,725-2.47%
VIX18.67+0.48%

The KOSPI rose 0.97% to 6,755, bouncing back. SK Hynix gained 3% on hopes for Korea-US AI cooperation. Foreigners sold 2.9 trillion won, but retail and institutions absorbed it to defend the index.

Key Issues

KOSPI Rebounds 0.97% — 6,755
The KOSPI rose 0.97% to 6,755, rebounding on hopes for Korea-US AI cooperation.
SK Hynix Up 3% on Supply-Chain Partnership Hopes
SK Hynix rose 3% on hopes for Korea-US AI cooperation and supply-chain partnerships.
Foreigners Sell 2.9 Trillion, Locals Defend
Despite 2.9 trillion won of foreign selling, retail bought 1.98 trillion and institutions 0.86 trillion.
China's CXMT Surges 466% on Shanghai Debut
Chinese DRAM maker CXMT soared 466% on its Shanghai debut, exposing overheating.
Oil Falls — Iran-US Tensions Ease
WTI slipped into the 89-dollar range as reports of easing Iran-US tensions weighed on oil.
7/24(Fri)
KOSPI6,690.62-5.72%
S&P 5007,411.98+0.05%
NASDAQ24,975.82-0.64%
USD/KRW1,474-0.11%
BTC64,099-1.45%
VIX18.58-0.64%

The KOSPI crashed 5.72% to 6,690, collapsing back below the 7,000 line just a day after reclaiming it. Middle East tensions pushed oil above 100 dollars a barrel while US chip weakness sent Samsung and SK Hynix down over 7%. Foreign investors dumped over 3 trillion won of stock.

Key Issues

KOSPI Crashes 5.72% — 6,700 Line Breaks
The KOSPI plunged 406 points to 6,690, breaking below the 6,700 line.
Samsung and SK Hynix Sink Over 7%
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix each dropped more than 7% on US chip weakness.
Oil Tops 100 Dollars — Middle East Tension
Oil topped 100 dollars a barrel for the first time since May 26 on US-Iran tension.
Foreigners Sell Over 3 Trillion Won
Foreign investors net-sold more than 3 trillion won of stock, driving the sharp decline.
SanDisk Falls 11% — US Memory Weakness
SanDisk fell 11% in US trading as memory and chip stocks extended their slide.
7/23(Thu)
KOSPI7,096.89+4.40%
S&P 5007,408.3-1.21%
NASDAQ25,137.69-2.15%
USD/KRW1,476-0.28%
BTC65,045-1.60%
VIX18.70+12.38%

The KOSPI surged 4.40% to 7,096, reclaiming the 7,000 line in a single day. US stocks fell, however, as Alphabet slid about 7% on a capex shock and chipmakers slipped. The VIX jumped 12% to 18.7, flagging a fresh crack in risk appetite.

Key Issues

KOSPI Rebounds 4.40% — 7,000 Line Reclaimed
The KOSPI closed 4.40% higher at 7,096, reclaiming the 7,000 line in a single session.
Alphabet Falls 7% on Capex Shock
Alphabet fell about 7% after lifting its FY26 capex guidance toward 205 billion dollars.
US Chip Stocks Slide in Sympathy
Chip stocks slipped on the Alphabet capex scare, dragging the Nasdaq down 2.15%.
VIX Jumps 12% — Volatility Reignites
The VIX spiked 12.4% to 18.7 as risk-off sentiment returned to markets.
Won Firms — Rate at 1,475
The won edged up to 1,475.6 per dollar as risk appetite briefly recovered.
7/22(Wed)
KOSPI6,797.7+0.74%
S&P 5007,498.96-0.14%
NASDAQ25,690.9-0.57%
USD/KRW1,480+0.32%
BTC66,101-0.61%
VIX16.64-2.40%

Alphabet cleared Q2 with revenue of 119.8 billion dollars, up 24%, and cloud up 82% to 24.77 billion. GAAP EPS of 9.11 dollars is flattered by a 99 billion equity-stake mark-up, leaving roughly 2.85 excluding it. Shares slid after hours as capex guidance rose to 195 to 205 billion, buybacks halted and free cash flow turned negative.

Key Issues

Cloud Reaccelerates — Revenue +82%, 53.7% Incremental Margin
Cloud revenue grew 82% and reaccelerated, with incremental operating margin estimated near 53.7%.
EPS Mirage — 99 Billion Equity Mark-Up
GAAP EPS of 9.11 dollars was inflated by a 99 billion mark-up on Anthropic and SpaceX stakes.
Capex Guidance Raised to 195-205 Billion
The company raised its FY26 capex guidance to a range of 195 to 205 billion dollars.
Buybacks Fall to Zero as Financing Widens
Buybacks fell to zero from 13.2 billion a year earlier while capital-market financing widened.
GOOGL Slides After Hours
GOOGL slid after hours on negative free cash flow and the heavier capex burden.
7/21(Tue)
KOSPI6,747.95+3.56%
S&P 5007,509.2+0.89%
NASDAQ25,837.21+1.29%
USD/KRW1,473-0.34%
BTC66,326+1.64%
VIX17.05-8.58%

The KOSPI rebounded 3.56% to close at 6,747, reclaiming the 6,700 line on a wave of chip export strength. Customs data showed July 1-20 exports hit a record 54.9 billion dollars, with semiconductors surging 181% to 22.1 billion. Foreign and institutional investors scooped up Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, powering the index higher.

Key Issues

KOSPI Stages a V-Shaped Rebound — Up 3.56% to 6,747
The KOSPI rose 3.56% to close at 6,747.95, reclaiming the 6,700 line.
July 1-20 Exports Hit a Record 54.9 Billion Dollars
Customs data showed July 1-20 exports rose 52.3% to 54.9 billion dollars, a record for the period.
Chip Exports Surge 180.6% to 22.1 Billion Dollars
Semiconductor exports jumped 180.6% to 22.1 billion dollars, making up 40.3% of total exports.
Samsung Jumps 6% and SK Hynix 4%
Samsung Electronics rose 6.15% and SK Hynix 4.08%, leading the chip-driven rebound.
Foreign and Institutional Investors Buy Together
Foreign and institutional investors net-bought 614.4 and 1,648 billion won on the main board.
7/20(Mon)
KOSPI6,516.27-4.46%
S&P 5007,443.28-0.19%
NASDAQ25,508.07-0.05%
USD/KRW1,478-0.14%
BTC65,256+2.30%
VIX18.65-0.64%

Sidecar halts hit both boards as the KOSPI plunged 4.5% to 6,516 and the KOSDAQ surrendered the 750 line at 749. Samsung Electronics carved a fresh correction low, stretching the index drawdown past 28% from the June peak. Renewed Middle East tensions lifted oil, adding a risk-off overlay.

Key Issues

KOSPI and KOSDAQ Plunge Together — Sidecars on Both Boards
The KOSPI fell 4.46% to 6,516.27, triggering sell sidecars on both boards.
KOSDAQ Breaks the 750 Line
The KOSDAQ dropped 5.33% to close at 749.64, losing the 750 level.
Samsung Hits Fresh Correction Low as Chip Selling Persists
Samsung Electronics set a new correction low, now 31% below its June peak.
Renewed Iran Tensions Lift Oil
Renewed strikes pushed Brent above 90 dollars, stoking risk aversion.
American Chip Sector Enters Bear Market
The chip sector slid into a bear market on Friday, dragging the S&P 500 down 1%.
7/17(Fri)
KOSPI6,820.6-6.37%
S&P 5007,457.69-1.01%
NASDAQ25,520.24-1.40%
USD/KRW1,480-0.29%
BTC63,789-1.40%
VIX18.77+12.19%

The Korean market was closed for Constitution Day, reinstated as a public holiday after 18 years. The first response to the crash and the new leverage rules was pushed to Monday. In New York, the Nasdaq fell 1.40% and the VIX jumped 12% to 18.77 as chip weakness continued.

Key Issues

Korean market closed for Constitution Day
With the holiday reinstated, trading paused and the first session after the new rules moved to July 20.
Nasdaq falls 1.40% — Alphabet slides for a second day
Alphabet fell another 2.2% and chip stocks slipped, pulling the Nasdaq down to 25,520.24.
Micron falls for a third day to $848.95
Micron closed 0.50% lower at $848.95, down more than 13% over three sessions.
TSMC capex guidance keeps chips under pressure
The fallout from TSMC's raised annual capex forecast of $60-64 billion kept semiconductors weak for a second day.
7/16(Thu)
KOSPI6,820.6-6.37%
S&P 5007,533.77-0.51%
NASDAQ25,881.95-1.47%
USD/KRW1,480-0.29%
BTC64,720-0.40%
VIX16.73+6.76%

The KOSPI plunged 6.37% to close at 6,820.60, surrendering the 7,000 line just a day after reclaiming it. Regulators unveiled measures raising the minimum deposit for single-stock leveraged ETFs to 30 million won. Samsung Electronics fell 8.77% and SK Hynix dropped 11.53%, leading the decline.

Key Issues

KOSPI plunges 6.37% — gives back the 7,000 line in a day
The KOSPI fell 463.81 points to close at 6,820.60, reversing lower just a day after its rebound.
Regulators unveil single-stock leveraged ETF measures
The minimum deposit rises to 30 million won on August 5, and only cash deposits are allowed from August 19.
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix tumble together
Samsung Electronics fell 8.77% to 255,000 won and SK Hynix dropped 11.53% to 1,842,000 won.
Bank of Korea delivers a surprise rate hike
The Bank of Korea's unexpected rate increase added pressure to the selloff.
Micron slides 8% — US chip weakness spills over
Micron had closed 8% lower at $904.28 overnight, and US semiconductor weakness weighed on Korean sentiment.
7/15(Wed)
KOSPI7,284.41+6.24%
S&P 5007,572.4+0.38%
NASDAQ26,269.23+0.62%
USD/KRW1,492-0.35%
WTI79.34+1.54%
BTC64,641-0.49%
VIX15.67-5.03%

The KOSPI surged 6.24% to close at 7,284.41, extending the previous day's fragile rebound. It gained 7.02% over two days but remained 2.56% below its July 10 close. The reversal was powerful, but the damage has not been fully repaired.

Key Issues

KOSPI surges 6.24% — reclaims 7,284
The KOSPI gained 427.58 points to close at 7,284.41, extending its rebound for a second day.
Two-day rebound reaches 7.02% — July 10 level not recovered
The index remained 2.56% below its pre-crash July 10 close of 7,475.94.
US stocks advance — Nasdaq gains 0.62%
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.38% and 0.62%, while the VIX fell 5.03%.
WTI rises into the $79 range — cost pressure returns
WTI closed 1.54% higher at $79.34, keeping inflation concerns alive.
7/14(Tue)
KOSPI6,856.83+0.73%
S&P 5007,543.59+0.38%
NASDAQ26,107.01+0.90%
USD/KRW1,498-0.05%
WTI79.34+1.54%
BTC64,956+4.37%
VIX16.50-3.85%

The KOSPI rose 0.73% to close at 6,856.83 after the previous day's 8.95% collapse. It fell as low as 6,448.86 intraday before erasing the loss, but recovered less than one-tenth of the prior drop. The plunge paused, but the bottom was not confirmed.

Key Issues

KOSPI rebounds 0.73% after the crash
After the previous day's 8.95% collapse, the KOSPI gained 49.90 points to close at 6,856.83.
Index sinks to 6,448 intraday before erasing the loss
The index fell to 6,448.86 before rebounding 6.33% from its low by the close.
US risk appetite improves — Nasdaq rises 0.90%
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both advanced, while the VIX fell 3.85% to 16.50.
WTI climbs 1.54% into the $79 range
WTI rose to $79.34 as improving risk appetite met renewed cost pressure.
7/13(Mon)
KOSPI6,806.93-8.95%

The KOSPI plunged 8.95% to close at 6,806, breaking below the 7,000 line. It tried to rebound as high as 7,529 intraday before reversing to a low of 6,783. Samsung Electronics fell 10.7% and SK Hynix 15.4%, with the chip pair driving the collapse.

Key Issues

KOSPI plunges 8.95% — breaks below 7,000
The KOSPI closed 8.95% lower at 6,806, giving up the 7,000 line on a closing basis.
Samsung and SK Hynix tumble together
Samsung Electronics fell 10.7% and SK Hynix 15.4%, with the chip pair leading the decline.
Sharp intraday reversal — from 7,529 to 6,783
After rising as high as 7,529, the index sank to a low of 6,783 as volatility exploded.
7/10(Fri)
KOSPI7,475.94+2.52%
S&P 5007,575.39+0.42%
NASDAQ26,281.61+0.29%
USD/KRW1,501-0.31%
WTI72.08-1.96%
BTC64,341+2.67%
VIX15.03-5.11%

The KOSPI extended its rebound for a second day, closing 2.52% higher at 7,475.94. Institutions bought over 1 trillion won to lift the index while the KOSDAQ jumped 5.47% to reclaim 837. The same day, SK Hynix debuted on the Nasdaq with a record $26.5 billion listing, the largest ever by a foreign company.

Key Issues

KOSPI rebounds for a second day — reclaims 7,475
The KOSPI closed 2.52% higher at 7,475.94 for a second straight gain, lifted by 1.13 trillion won of institutional buying.
SK Hynix lists on Nasdaq — largest-ever foreign IPO
SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion on the Nasdaq, topping Alibaba's 2014 record, and its ADR rose 13% to $168.01 on debut.
KOSDAQ surges 5.47% — back above 837
The KOSDAQ closed 43.43 points (5.47%) higher at 837.43, extending its rebound.
US stocks rise, VIX falls — risk-on extends
The Nasdaq gained 0.29% and the VIX fell over 5% to 15.03, extending the risk-on move.
SK Hynix's Korean shares slip — listing-day profit-taking
Despite the Nasdaq debut, SK Hynix's Korean shares gave back an intraday gain of over 5% to close down 0.27%.
7/9(Thu)
KOSPI7,291.91+0.62%
S&P 5007,543.64+0.81%
NASDAQ26,206.89+1.30%
USD/KRW1,506-0.69%
WTI73.52-1.53%
BTC63,243+1.57%
VIX15.84-6.27%

The KOSPI whipsawed between 7,543 and 7,063 before closing up 0.62% at 7,292. SK Hynix jumped more than 5% as foreign and institutional buyers absorbed some 2 trillion won of retail selling. Still, this was a fragile dip-buying rebound rather than a genuine return of risk appetite.

Key Issues

KOSPI Rebounds After a Wild Intraday Swing
The KOSPI swung between 7,543 and 7,063 before closing up 0.62% at 7,291.91.
SK Hynix Jumps 5% on ADR Offering Demand
SK Hynix rose more than 5% after its American ADR offering drew over seven times oversubscription.
Foreigners and Institutions Absorb Retail Selling
Foreign and institutional investors net-bought, soaking up about 2 trillion won of retail selling.
WTI Pulls Back to the Mid-73s
WTI slipped to 73.5 dollars a day after its surge, though Hormuz tension keeps a floor under prices.
Wall Street Rebounds as the VIX Slides
The S&P 500 rose 0.81% and the Nasdaq 1.30%, while the VIX fell over 6% to 15.84.
7/8(Wed)
KOSPI7,246.79-5.35%
S&P 5007,482.71-0.28%
NASDAQ25,870.65+0.20%
USD/KRW1,517+0.14%
WTI74.66+5.99%
BTC62,264-1.67%
VIX16.90+4.77%

The KOSPI fell for a second day, dropping a steeper 5.4% to close at 7,247 in a selloff dubbed Black Wednesday. The KOSDAQ broke below the 800 line to end at 785 as chip peak-out fears spread. Domestic institutions drove the selloff, while foreign investors turned net buyers.

Key Issues

KOSPI 'Black Wednesday' — Second-Day Plunge Deepens
The KOSPI fell 5.4% to close at 7,247 on July 8, a steeper drop than the prior session.
KOSDAQ Breaks Below 800, Ends at 785
The KOSDAQ dropped 5.6% to 785, breaching the 800 line for a second session.
Foreigners Turn Net Buyers as Institutions Lead the Drop
Domestic institutions drove the selloff, while foreign investors flipped to net buying.
Chip Peak-Out Fears Hit Samsung and SK Hynix
Samsung Electronics fell 6.3% and SK Hynix 5.7% amid debate over a memory cycle peak.
WTI Jumps 6% on Strait of Hormuz Tensions
WTI rose about 6% to 74.66 dollars after Iran-linked strikes and a Hormuz tanker attack.
7/7(Tue)
KOSPI7,656.31-4.91%
S&P 5007,503.85-0.45%
NASDAQ25,818.69-1.16%
USD/KRW1,530-0.02%
WTI69.14+0.86%
BTC63,229+2.09%
VIX15.570.00%

Samsung Electronics slid nearly 7% despite record quarterly earnings, and the KOSPI collapsed 4.9% to 7,656. Intraday losses topped 8%, triggering a circuit breaker, while foreign investors dumped a net 2.9 trillion won on the main board. Wall Street also fell as chip weakness pushed the Nasdaq down 1.2%.

Key Issues

Samsung record earnings, yet shares drop 7%
Samsung's record Q2 revenue of 171 trillion won and 89.4 trillion in operating profit could not stop a 7% sell-the-news drop.
KOSPI circuit breaker and sell-side sidecar fire
Intraday losses above 8% triggered a circuit breaker and a sell-side sidecar, spiking market volatility.
Foreigners sell 2.9 trillion won, 13th session
Foreign investors sold a net 2.9 trillion won on the main board, extending their selling streak to a 13th session.
AI capex payback doubts spark chip-peak fears
Lingering Meta shock fed doubts over AI capex payback, spilling into fears that chip earnings have peaked.
Wall Street also falls on chip weakness
Wall Street also fell as chip weakness dragged the Nasdaq down 1.2% and the S&P 500 down 0.5%.
7/6(Mon)
KOSPI8,051.33-0.46%
S&P 5007,537.43+0.72%
NASDAQ26,121.16+1.12%
USD/KRW1,530+0.12%
WTI68.55-0.20%
BTC61,935-1.20%
VIX15.57-1.52%

Weak June US payrolls of 57,000 revived rate-cut hopes, lifting the Nasdaq 1.1% and the S&P 500 0.7%. The KOSPI slipped 0.5% to 8,051, pausing ahead of Samsung's preliminary Q2 earnings. The won traded around 1,530 per dollar on the first day of 24-hour FX trading.

Key Issues

US June payrolls +57k, jobless rate 4.2%
Nonfarm payrolls rose just 57,000 and the jobless rate ticked up to 4.2%, reviving rate-cut hopes.
Nasdaq and S&P rise on tech
Rate-cut hopes lifted the Nasdaq 1.1% and the S&P 500 0.7%, with technology shares leading the session.
KOSPI eases 0.46% before Samsung earnings
The KOSPI slipped 0.5% to 8,051 as investors held back ahead of Samsung's Q2 preliminary results on the 7th.
WTI falls on OPEC output hike
OPEC's decision to raise output weighed on supply, nudging WTI down to 68.55 dollars.
Won near 1,530 on first 24-hour FX day
On the first day of Korea's 24-hour FX trading, the won closed the Seoul session at 1,530.3 per dollar.
7/3(Fri)
KOSPI8,088.34+5.76%
S&P 5007,483.240.00%
NASDAQ25,832.670.00%
USD/KRW1,526-1.94%
WTI68.690.00%
BTC61,4850.00%
VIX16.150.00%

The KOSPI rebounded 5.8% to 8,088 on dip-buying, reclaiming the 8,000 line in a single day. Institutions bought a net 4.5 trillion won as Samsung Electronics rose 8.2% and SK Hynix 10.9%. US markets were closed for Independence Day.

Key Issues

Chip heavyweights snap back
Samsung Electronics rose 8.2% to reclaim 300,000 won and SK Hynix jumped 10.9% to 2,425,000 won.
Institutions buy 4.5 trillion won
Institutional net buying of 4.46 trillion won triggered a buy-side sidecar halt in the afternoon.
Second-widest intraday swing on record
The gap between the intraday high and low reached 758 points, the second widest ever.
Won jumps 30 won against the dollar
A stronger yen and suspected intervention drove the dollar down 30.2 won to 1,525.6.
US markets shut for Independence Day
The NYSE and Nasdaq were closed for the July 4 holiday, so there was no US session.
7/2(Thu)
KOSPI7,648.09-7.89%
S&P 5007,483.240.00%
NASDAQ25,832.67-0.80%
USD/KRW1,556+0.06%
WTI68.69+0.16%
BTC61,485+2.50%
VIX16.15-2.65%

The KOSPI crashed 7.9% to 7,648 as Meta's cloud entry stoked fears of an AI compute glut. Samsung Electronics fell 9.1% and SK Hynix 14.6%, while the won closed at its weakest since 2009. In a shortened US session the Dow hit a record but chips fell for a second day.

Key Issues

Meta cloud entry shock
Meta's cloud announcement was read as a sign of AI compute oversupply, crushing chip stocks.
Chip heavyweights plunge
Samsung Electronics closed down 9.1% at 286,000 won and SK Hynix down 14.6% at 2,187,000 won.
Won at weakest since the financial crisis
Foreign equity outflows kept the won at 1,555.8 per dollar, a second straight post-2009 low.
Dow record on rate-cut hopes
Weak June payrolls revived rate-cut bets, lifting the Dow 1.1% to a record 52,900.
7/1(Wed)
KOSPI8,303.41-2.04%
S&P 5007,483.23-0.22%
NASDAQ26,040.03-0.66%
USD/KRW1,555+0.41%
WTI68.60-1.30%
BTC58,631+0.40%
VIX16.59+0.85%

The KOSPI plunged 2% to 8,303 on profit-taking in its two chip heavyweights. Advancers outnumbered decliners three to one, yet Samsung Electronics' 5.8% drop dragged the index down. US chips fell too, with the semiconductor index down 4.7% as Fed Chair Warsh struck a hawkish tone.

Key Issues

Profit-taking in chip heavyweights
Samsung fell 5.8% and SK Hynix 3.4% as first-half surges met quarter-open selling.
US semiconductor index tumbles 4.7%
Micron dropped over 8% as chip stocks that rose 80% in Q2 saw heavy profit-taking.
Warsh's hawkish debut
The new Fed chair said prices are too high and gave no hint of a July cut.
Rotation into KOSDAQ and defense
The KOSDAQ rose 1.4% and Hanwha Aerospace jumped 9.7% as money rotated out of chips.
6/30(Tue)
KOSPI8,476.48+0.97%
S&P 5007,499.36+0.79%
NASDAQ26,213.72+1.52%
USD/KRW1,549+0.49%
WTI69.50-0.30%
BTC58,400-2.20%
VIX16.45-6.80%

The KOSPI rose 1% to 8,476 on a semiconductor rebound. Foreigners sold 3.8 trillion won but institutions absorbed it, and Samsung Electronics jumped 3.4%. The S&P 500 closed out its best quarter since 2020 with a 16.3% gain.

Key Issues

Chip rebound — Samsung up 3.4%
AI demand and long-term supply contracts supported chip valuations and lifted the index.
US closes best quarter since 2020
The S&P 500 gained 16.3% for the quarter, capping a tech-led first-half rally.
Foreigners sell 3.8 trillion won
Foreign investors kept selling into the rally while institutions absorbed the flow.
Bitcoin breaks below $60K
Quarter-end de-grossing pushed Bitcoin under $60,000 for the first time since 2024.
6/29(Mon)
KOSPI8,394.65-0.20%
S&P 5007,440.43+1.18%
NASDAQ25,820.14+2.07%
USD/KRW1,541-0.08%
WTI69.70+0.60%
BTC59,700-1.00%
VIX17.65-4.13%

The KOSPI closed flat, down 0.2%. The government unveiled an AI mega-project with four 800-trillion-won memory fabs, raising the stakes for long-term chips. Wall Street rallied on chips, the Dow topped 52,000 for the first time and the Nasdaq jumped 2%, reaffirming the AI chip cycle.

Key Issues

Government AI & chip mega-project
The government unveiled doubling metro-area capacity and four 800-trillion-won memory fabs in the southwest.
Chip rally — Dow tops 52,000
The semiconductor ETF rose 3% with KLA and AMAT surging double digits, lifting the indexes.
KOSPI flat — brief breather
The KOSPI eased 0.2% to 8,394 but bounced intraday on the government announcement.
Fed's Cook stays + Iran de-escalation
The Supreme Court let Governor Cook keep her seat and Middle East tensions eased, reviving risk appetite.
6/26(Fri)
KOSPI8,411-5.81%
S&P 5007,354.02-0.05%
NASDAQ25,297.62-0.24%
USD/KRW1,538-0.42%
WTI69.40-3.51%
BTC61,633-1.71%
VIX18.89-1.10%

The KOSPI crashed 5.81% to 8,411 after an intraday 8% plunge triggered a circuit breaker, fully erasing the prior day's rebound. Foreigners dumped Samsung and SK Hynix on June-end rebalancing, with an Apple price hike and OpenAI IPO delay news crushing chip sentiment. US stocks held flat, but the Nasdaq logged a fifth straight loss.

Key Issues

KOSPI plunges 5.81% — 5th circuit breaker of 2026
An intraday drop past 8% triggered a circuit breaker, pulling the index to 8,411.
Foreigners net sell for a sixth straight day
June-end rebalancing concentrated selling in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
OpenAI IPO delay report hits chip sentiment
Reports that OpenAI may push its IPO to 2027 rattled chip stocks.
US stocks flat — Nasdaq's fifth straight loss
The S&P fell 0.05% and the Nasdaq 0.24% as chip profit-taking continued.
6/25(Thu)
KOSPI8,930+5.42%
S&P 5007,357.49-0.01%
NASDAQ25,358.6-0.46%
USD/KRW1,543+0.52%
WTI71.53-1.24%
BTC59,500-4.93%
VIX19.10-2.00%

The KOSPI surged 5.42% to 8,930, nearly recovering its pre-crash level on a second rebound day. In Micron's wake, Apple and Microsoft hiked hardware prices citing soaring memory costs, and Apple fell over 6%. The memory super-cycle is spilling into device inflation, splitting winners and losers within Big Tech.

Key Issues

KOSPI surges 5.42% — second rebound day
Chip strength lifted the KOSPI to 8,930, nearly recovering its pre-crash level.
Apple -6.13% on memory-driven price hikes
Apple posted its worst day in a year after saying it will raise MacBook and iPad prices.
Memory inflation takes hold
DRAM prices jumped 98% in Q1 and are set to rise another 58-63% this quarter.
Big Tech split — Mag7 weak
Microsoft also raised Xbox prices and slid, dragging the Magnificent 7 lower together.
6/24(Wed)
KOSPI8,471+3.26%
S&P 5007,358.22-0.10%
NASDAQ25,476.64-0.43%
USD/KRW1,535+1.48%
WTI72.43-5.49%
BTC62,585-2.16%
VIX19.49-3.03%

The KOSPI rebounded 3.26% to 8,471, clawing back part of the prior day's crash. Micron blew past consensus with $41.4B revenue and $25.11 EPS, jumping 13% after hours. An 86% gross margin plus a $50B next-quarter revenue guide confirmed a memory super-cycle that calmed the selloff fears.

Key Issues

KOSPI rebounds 3.26%
Samsung surged 9.11% as the KOSPI clawed back to 8,471 from the prior day's crash.
Micron earnings beat — +13% after hours
Revenue of $41.4B and $25.11 EPS topped consensus by 18-24%, sending shares up 13% after hours.
86% margin — memory super-cycle confirmed
An 86% gross margin plus a $50B next-quarter revenue guide marked historic profitability.
SCA long-term deals reshape supply
Strategic Customer Agreements with AI clients carry $100B in remaining obligations, set to be 40% of future revenue.
6/23(Tue)
KOSPI8,203.84-9.99%
S&P 5007,365.46-1.44%
NASDAQ25,587.04-2.21%
USD/KRW1,513+0.24%
WTI76.64+0.78%
BTC63,967+1.07%
VIX20.10+22.50%

The KOSPI crashed 9.99% to 8,203, triggering circuit breakers twice in one session. Samsung and SK Hynix each fell over 12% as the AI and chip crowding unwound all at once. The Nasdaq dropped 2.21% as the overheated memory rally turned into a global bout of profit-taking.

Key Issues

KOSPI crashes 9.99% — two circuit breakers
The KOSPI shed 910 points to close at 8,203, its second-largest drop of the year.
Samsung, SK Hynix each -12%
The two chip giants plunged over 12%, leading the index collapse.
AI fears plus leveraged-ETF curbs
Alphabet leadership-exit AI anxiety and Korean curbs on leveraged chip ETFs amplified the selling.
Global semiconductor selloff
American memory names like Micron and Sandisk also tumbled from record highs as the rout spread.
6/22(Mon)
KOSPI9,113.67+0.68%
S&P 5007,472.79-0.37%
NASDAQ26,166.6-1.32%
USD/KRW1,537+0.65%
WTI74.04-4.26%
BTC65,034+1.60%
VIX17.28+2.98%

KOSPI closed at 9,113, clearing 9,100 for the first time and setting a fresh record high. The same day, US stocks wobbled as Big Tech bled AI talent. Alphabet slid 6%, dragging the Nasdaq down 1.3%.

Key Issues

KOSPI clears 9,100 for the first time
KOSPI set a record high at 9,113 even as foreigners sold a net 2 trillion won.
Alphabet's AI brain drain
Alphabet fell 6% after a Nobel-laureate DeepMind scientist left for Anthropic.
Big Tech sells off together
Amazon, Meta and Microsoft slid in tandem, pulling the Nasdaq down 1.3%.
WTI drops 4%
A US-Iran 60-day roadmap eased supply fears, sending crude down to $74.
Won weakens to 1,537
Dollar strength and foreign selling pushed USD/KRW back above 1,530 for the first time in ten days.
6/19(Fri)
KOSPI9,052.42-0.13%
S&P 5007,500.580.00%
NASDAQ26,517.930.00%
USD/KRW1,532+0.10%
WTI74.690.00%
BTC62,9460.00%
VIX16.400.00%

KOSPI spiked to a fresh record 9,385 early before profit-taking pulled it back to 9,052. The high-low swing topped 553 points, a rough volatility day. US markets were shut for Juneteenth, so Korea traded alone.

Key Issues

KOSPI hits intraday record 9,385, then fades
KOSPI spiked to a record 9,385 early before profit-taking dragged it back to 9,052.
SK Hynix HBM4E did the lifting
SK Hynix rose 3.35% to a record 2.775M won on its 12-layer HBM4E sample shipment.
Index high, breadth weak
The index held above 9,000 but a handful of mega-caps did the heavy lifting.
US shut for Juneteenth
The NYSE and Nasdaq were closed for Juneteenth, so there was no US session.
6/18(Thu)
KOSPI9,063.84+2.25%
S&P 5007,500.58+1.08%
NASDAQ26,517.93+1.91%
USD/KRW1,509-0.40%
WTI76.64+0.78%
BTC62,935-2.10%
VIX16.41+1.30%

Samsung and SK Hynix jumped 4.6% and 6.5%, lifting the KOSPI 2.25% past 9,000 for the first time. Micron tagged a fresh record, up ~8% after TD Cowen and RBC lifted targets to $1,500 and $1,200. Wall Street rebounded after digesting a hawkish FOMC, but warnings over memory crowding grew louder.

Key Issues

KOSPI tops 9,000 for first time
Samsung and SK Hynix surged, pushing the KOSPI up 2.25% to its first close above 9,000.
Micron record on target hikes
Micron jumped ~8% to a new high after TD Cowen lifted its target to $1,500 and RBC to $1,200.
U.S. rebound after hawkish FOMC
The Nasdaq rose 1.91%, rebounding as markets digested the hawkish first FOMC.
Memory concentration risk
Samsung and SK Hynix alone exceed half of KOSPI market cap, intensifying crowding concerns.
6/17(Wed)
KOSPI8,864.24+1.58%
S&P 5007,420.1-1.21%
NASDAQ26,021.66-1.34%
USD/KRW1,533+1.55%
WTI75.47-1.58%
BTC65,836-0.68%
VIX16.41-7.18%

Warsh's first FOMC landed hawkish and US stocks fell more than 1%. The dot plot erased 2026 cuts as 9 of 18 officials now pencil in a hike. KOSPI set a fresh record at 8,864 before the decision, but the dollar surged and the won slid to 1,533.

Key Issues

Warsh's first FOMC — hawkish dots
9 of 18 officials now project a 2026 hike, lifting the year-end dot median to 3.8%.
Inflation up, growth down
The SEP raised year-end inflation to 3.6% and cut growth to 2.2%, tilting toward stagflation.
A Fed without guidance
Warsh trimmed the statement to 130 words and scrapped forward guidance.
Broad US selloff
All 11 S&P sectors fell, with communication services the worst at about -3%.
KOSPI record vs weaker won
KOSPI closed at a record 8,864 before the decision while USD/KRW rose 1.55% to 1,533.
6/16(Tue)
KOSPI8,726.6+2.11%
S&P 5007,548.6-0.08%
NASDAQ26,376.34-1.15%
USD/KRW1,520-0.30%
WTI76.68-5.04%
BTC66,298+1.24%
VIX17.68+1.50%

Micron printed a double top after its $1,097 record, triggering a wave of profit-taking across semis. Ahead of new Chair Warsh's first FOMC, money rotated out of chips into financials and communications. SpaceX's blow-off rally reopened the froth debate, putting the memory trio's $3.5T market cap under scrutiny.

Key Issues

Micron double top after record
Micron faded into a double top after hitting a $1,097 all-time high on June 15.
Chips-to-financials rotation
Ahead of Warsh's first FOMC, profit-taking cash rotated from semis into financials and communications.
SpaceX +20% — froth check
SpaceX surged on a $60B AI acquisition, overtaking Amazon at a $2.65T market cap.
Memory trio's $3.5T market cap
Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron now total about $3.5T, intensifying the valuation-justification debate.
6/12(Fri)
KOSPI8,123.62+4.63%
S&P 5007,431.46+0.50%
NASDAQ25,888.84+0.31%
USD/KRW1,520-0.60%
WTI84.29-1.90%
BTC63,500+1.00%
VIX17.68-9.05%

Risk appetite extended on an imminent Iran deal, with the KOSPI surging 4.63% to reclaim the 8,100 line. Foreign investors returned with 2.7 trillion won of net buying, their first simultaneous spot-and-futures buying in 25 sessions. In the US, SpaceX jumped 19% to close at $161 in history's largest IPO debut.

Key Issues

Foreigners return — 2.7T won of KOSPI buying
Foreign investors turned net buyers in both spot and futures for the first time in 25 sessions; institutions added 3.1 trillion won.
SpaceX debut +19%
Shares closed at $160.95, up 19% from the $135 offer price, pushing the market cap above $2 trillion.
Iran 14-point draft deal — oil at 8-week low
A pledge to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days pushed WTI down another 4% to an 8-week low.
Won turns stronger
The won closed 9.1 won stronger at 1,519.8 per dollar, a tailwind for foreign flows.
6/11(Thu)
KOSPI7,763.95+0.43%
S&P 5007,394.16+1.75%
NASDAQ25,808.5+2.54%
USD/KRW1,528+0.30%
WTI85.94-4.50%
BTC62,860+2.16%
VIX19.20-13.60%

Trump canceled Iran strikes and said a deal is essentially agreed, igniting risk appetite: Nasdaq +2.54%, S&P +1.75%. Oil sank over 4% to ~$86, its lowest since April, on Hormuz-reopening hopes. KOSPI swung from -3% intraday to close +0.43% (7,764).

Key Issues

Trump signals Iran deal is close
Strikes canceled and Hormuz reopening floated; hopes for an end to the war fueled a rally.
Nasdaq jumps +2.54%
Risk-on returned with Russell 2000 +3% and megacap tech leading the gains.
Oil drops 4% to $85.94
Hormuz-reopening bets sent WTI to its lowest since April, easing inflation pressure.
KOSPI's volatile session
Down 3% intraday before US futures rebounded, closing +0.43%.
6/10(Wed)
KOSPI7,730.82-4.52%
S&P 5007,266.99-1.62%
NASDAQ25,169.5-1.98%
USD/KRW1,523+0.89%
WTI90.00-3.20%
BTC61,531-1.77%
VIX22.22+8.66%

US May CPI hit a 3-year high of 4.2%, reviving rate fears: Dow -953, Nasdaq -1.98%. Washington signaling fresh strikes on Iran deepened the risk-off move. KOSPI fell -4.52% (7,731) as forced selling hit a 3-year high.

Key Issues

US May CPI +4.2%, a 3-year high
Hotter inflation pushed back rate-cut hopes; industrials -3%, tech -2%.
Dow drops 953 points (-1.87%)
CPI shock plus Iran strike signals sent S&P -1.62% and Nasdaq -1.98%.
US signals strikes on Iran
Amid ceasefire talks, Washington hinted at hitting targets inside Iran, widening geopolitical risk.
Korea forced selling at 3-year high
Margin-call liquidations surged as KOSPI gave back -4.52%.
6/9(Tue)
KOSPI8,096.93+8.18%
S&P 5007,386.66-0.26%
NASDAQ25,678.82-0.97%
USD/KRW1,510-1.21%
WTI93.00-2.10%
BTC62,640-1.45%
VIX20.45+8.09%

KOSPI roared +8.18% (8,097) in its best day of 2026, led by SK Hynix +16% and Samsung +9%. Jensen Huang's 'buy the dip' call on AI chips pulled foreign buyers back. US slipped as Trump teased fresh Iran strikes; Nasdaq -0.97%.

Key Issues

KOSPI's record rebound +8.18%
Samsung +9%, SK Hynix +16%; the index's biggest single-day gain of 2026.
Jensen Huang's 'buy the dip' call
Huang said the AI cycle isn't broken and the selloff is just a reset, reviving chip demand.
Trump teases new Iran strikes
Reports Iran targeted a US helicopter prompted Trump's warning; stocks fell intraday then pared losses.
Won firms back to 1,510
Risk-on mood lifted the won as the dollar-won pair retreated to around 1,510.
6/8(Mon)
KOSPI7,484.41-8.29%
S&P 5007,405.73+0.30%
NASDAQ25,929.66+0.86%
USD/KRW1,528+0.66%
WTI93.60+4.12%
BTC63,564+1.10%
VIX18.50-21.00%

KOSPI circuit breaker (-8.29%, 7,484) as Friday's chip rout + Iran-Israel missile strike sparked foreign selloff. Samsung -10%, Hynix -7%; the US rebounded (Micron +10%), leaving Korea isolated.

Key Issues

KOSPI circuit breaker — 8.29% crash
Circuit breaker at 9:03am; Samsung -10%, Hynix -7%; only the 9th in history.
Iran missile strike on Israel
First direct hit since April ceasefire; Trump mediating as geopolitical risk resurfaces.
US chips rebound — Micron +10%
Technical bounce after Friday's 13% plunge; Nvidia and Broadcom also up.
Oil surges — WTI $93.6 (+4%)
Iran-Israel clash reignites Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears.
6/5(Fri)
KOSPI8,160.59-5.54%
S&P 5007,383.74-2.64%
NASDAQ25,709.43-4.18%
USD/KRW1,518+0.66%
WTI92.50-1.39%
BTC62,875-2.71%
VIX23.42+52.10%

May payrolls of +172K (above the ~80K consensus) fueled rate-hike bets and a yield spike, sinking AI and chips. The Nasdaq fell 4.18% and the S&P 2.64%, erasing $1T (Marvell -16%, Micron -13%). Korea fell too, with the KOSPI down 5.54% to 8,161 despite Jensen Huang's HBM4 certification, and the US plunge leaves further gap-down risk.

Key Issues

May payrolls +172K — Fed hike bets
NFP +172K (cons ~80K) with unemployment at 4.3% fueled rate-hike bets and a yield spike.
Nasdaq -4.18% — AI/chip selloff
The yield spike pressured AI valuations, with the Nasdaq -4.18% erasing $1T in market cap.
Marvell -16%, Micron -13%
AMD and Intel fell 11% as valuation doubts spread across specialty and memory names.
Jensen Huang confirms HBM4 certification
Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron passed HBM4 certification for Vera Rubin, with Q3 shipments.
6/4(Thu)
KOSPI8,720-1.48%
S&P 5007,584+0.74%
NASDAQ26,830-0.06%
USD/KRW1,508+0.33%
WTI93.80-1.47%
BTC64,629-4.40%
VIX15.40-1.35%

Broadcom fell 12.6% to $418.91 as Q3 AI guidance ($16B) trailed the $17.2B consensus despite a Q2 beat. SOXX fell 2.1%, but Google's $85B expansion lifted the S&P and Dow, splitting the tape. KOSPI eased to 8,720 (-1.5%) on chip weakness, capped by Jensen Huang's visit.

Key Issues

Broadcom -12.6% — AI guidance below the bar
Despite a Q2 beat, Q3 AI guidance of $16B trailed the $17.2B consensus and software was soft; $479 to $419.
Google $85B expansion — split tape
Google's $85B data-center expansion bet lifted the S&P and Dow, splitting the tape.
SOXX -2.1% — chip risk-off
Broadcom's guidance disappointment spread across the chip complex, with SOXX down 2.1%.
Jensen Huang visit
Huang's repeat visit and a 'please make more' note at SK Hynix confirmed robust HBM demand.
6/3(Wed)
KOSPI8,8510.00%
S&P 5007,528-0.74%
NASDAQ26,846-0.89%
USD/KRW1,5050.00%
WTI95.20+3.10%
BTC67,607-6.29%
VIX15.61+1.90%

Broadcom's AI revenue surged 143% but Q3 AI guidance ($16B) trailed expectations ($17.2B), sending shares down 14% after hours. US stocks retreated from record highs (S&P -0.7%, Nasdaq -0.9%) on software and chip profit-taking. WTI topped $95 and Bitcoin fell 6% as risk assets weakened.

Key Issues

Broadcom Sinks 14% After Hours — AI Guidance Disappoints
AI chip revenue jumped 143%, yet Q3 AI guidance of $16B trailed the $17.2B expected.
US Stocks Retreat From Record Highs — Software & Chip Profit-Taking
After the prior session's record close, S&P -0.7% and Nasdaq -0.9% fell together.
WTI Tops $95 — Iran & Hormuz Risk Persists
Geopolitical premium held on US-Iran talks uncertainty, pushing oil higher.
Bitcoin Drops 6% — Risk-Off Sentiment
Crypto corrected alongside equity weakness, with BTC down over 6%.
6/2(Tue)
KOSPI8,8510.00%
S&P 5007,584+0.05%
NASDAQ27,087+0.42%
USD/KRW1,5050.00%
WTI92.36+5.73%
BTC72,145-2.30%
VIX15.32-2.67%

AI CAPEX race heats up — Google raises $800B via ATM, preferred shares & Buffett; Anthropic files confidentially for IPO. NVIDIA AI PC & agentic AI spark SW sector interest (Salesforce, ServiceNow, Oracle, CoreWeave). WTI $92 (+5.7%) on renewed Iran tensions.

Key Issues

Google Raises $800B for CAPEX — ATM, Preferred Shares & Buffett
Massive fundraising for AI infrastructure expansion, CAPEX competition intensifies.
Anthropic IPO Imminent — Confidential Filing with SEC
Claude developer Anthropic preps for public listing, AI startup valuations in focus.
AI SW Sector Gains Attention — NVIDIA AI PC & Agentic AI
Agents running agents era arrives; Salesforce, ServiceNow, Oracle, CoreWeave poised to benefit.
WTI Surges to $92 — Iran Hormuz Tensions Resurface
Iran suspends US talks, threatens Hormuz closure; oil jumps +5.7%.
6/1(Mon)
KOSPI8,851+4.42%
S&P 5007,599.96+0.26%
NASDAQ27,086.81+0.42%
USD/KRW1,503+0.20%
WTI87.30-0.51%
BTC72,500+0.40%
VIX15.30-0.13%

ISM Manufacturing hit 54%, the highest since 2022, and NVIDIA's new AI PC chip lifted tech to records. The S&P closed near 7,600 and the Nasdaq near 27,087. KOSPI hit a record 8,851 (+4.4%) as foreigners bought the memory duo on Jensen Huang's visit and HBM4 hopes.

Key Issues

ISM Manufacturing 54% — highest since 2022
May ISM Manufacturing PMI hit 54% with New Orders at 56.8%, a fifth straight month of expansion.
NVIDIA AI PC chip launch
NVIDIA unveiled a new AI chip for PCs, lifting tech with the major indexes near records.
KOSPI record 8,851
Foreigners bought the memory duo on Jensen Huang's visit and HBM4 hopes, up 4.4%.
WTI $87 — oil flat
Optimism on US-Iran talks and a Hormuz reopening kept oil flat.
5/28(Thu)
KOSPI8,185.29-0.53%
S&P 5007,563.63+0.58%
NASDAQ26,917.47+0.91%
USD/KRW1,495-0.49%
WTI89.53+0.96%
BTC72,714-2.27%
VIX15.74-3.38%

S&P 7,564 and NASDAQ 26,917 both hit new all-time highs, Snowflake +36.5% on AI software optimism. KOSPI 8,185 (-0.53%) retreats on Middle East risks and hawkish BOK. PCE inflation hits 3.8%, highest in nearly 3 years, Fed rate cut hopes fade.

Key Issues

S&P and NASDAQ hit consecutive all-time highs — Snowflake +36.5% on AI optimism
AI software enthusiasm drives Snowflake's best day ever, tech sector leads rally.
KOSPI 8,185 retreats — Middle East risks and hawkish BOK
Trump 'not satisfied' comments weigh on sentiment, BOK holds rates for 8th time.
PCE inflation hits 3.8% — highest in nearly 3 years
Fed's preferred inflation gauge jumps, rate cut expectations fade, bonds weaken.
BTC $72.7K down — risk-off on geopolitical tensions
US-Iran tensions persist, spot ETF outflows reach $1.5B over 7 consecutive days.
5/27(Wed)
KOSPI8,228.7+2.25%
S&P 5007,520.36+0.02%
NASDAQ26,674.73+0.07%
USD/KRW1,435-1.03%
WTI88.68-5.55%
BTC75,216-2.84%
VIX16.86-0.88%

KOSPI 8,229 consecutive all-time high (+2.25%), SK Hynix surges +10%. WTI plunges to $88.68 (-5.55%) on Iran 'Hormuz normalization within 1 month' claim (White House denies). Dow hits record, S&P and NASDAQ up slightly.

Key Issues

KOSPI 8,229 consecutive all-time high — SK Hynix surges +10.04%
Global AI chip rally drives SK Hynix surge, Samsung +3.34% follows.
WTI plunges to $88.68 — Iran claims 'Hormuz normal within 1 month'
Oil drops on Iranian state media report; White House calls it 'complete fabrication'.
Dow 50,644 all-time high — industrials rally on lower oil
S&P +0.02%, NASDAQ +0.07% edge higher, only Dow +0.36% hits new record.
Bitcoin slides to $75K — weakness amid equity rotation
BTC -2.8% as stock rally continues, Ethereum also declines.
5/26(Tue)
KOSPI8,047.51+2.55%
S&P 5007,519.12+0.61%
NASDAQ26,656.18+1.19%
USD/KRW1,450-4.42%
WTI92.36-5.74%
BTC77,412-0.06%
VIX16.75+0.96%

KOSPI hits all-time high 8,048 (+2.55%) on US-Iran deal optimism, risk-on surge. S&P and NASDAQ both hit record highs, Micron +19% crosses $1T market cap. WTI plunges to $92 (-6%) on Hormuz reopening hopes.

Key Issues

KOSPI 8,048 all-time high — US-Iran deal optimism triggers risk-on surge
Foreign buying returns, Samsung and SK Hynix rally to push index past 8,000 again.
Micron +19%, crosses $1T market cap — analysts raise targets across the board
HBM and DDR5 demand explosion reconfirms memory supercycle, leads NASDAQ rally.
WTI plunges to $92 — US-Iran 2-month ceasefire extension talks progress
Strait of Hormuz reopening expectations push oil to 5-week low, easing inflation fears.
S&P and NASDAQ both hit record highs — post-Memorial Day rally resumes
S&P 7,519 (+0.61%), NASDAQ 26,656 (+1.19%), Dow dips -0.23%.
5/22(Fri)
KOSPI7,848.32+0.41%
S&P 5007,430+0.40%
NASDAQ26,100+0.20%
USD/KRW1,517+0.83%
WTI98.00-2.97%
BTC77,447+0.24%
VIX16.70-0.36%

S&P 500 extends its winning streak to eight weeks, Dow +0.58% / Nasdaq +0.2% lead. KOSPI 7,848 (+0.41%) recovers for a third day but foreign net selling totals KRW 46T over May 7-22, with SK Hynix + Samsung at 83% of that. WTI ~$98 / USDKRW 1,517 deepen weakness, and NVDA's blowout still leaves the stock at $215.33 on May 22.

Key Issues

S&P 8th straight weekly gain, Dow +0.58% — Middle East peace + earnings season
Iran-US peace talks progress + strong earnings season fuel buying, S&P 8 consecutive weekly advances.
Foreign net selling in KR chips hits KRW 46T cumulative — SK + Samsung at 83%
SK Hynix KRW 19.6T + Samsung KRW 18.9T net selling May 7-22; profit-taking rotates partly into robotics.
NVDA still at $215.33 on May 22 after Q1 — expectations-ceiling pattern persists
Triple beat on Q1 FY27 but AH -1.8%; 18/20 beats with post-earnings declines becoming the new pattern.
Won weakens + oil volatile — USDKRW 1,517 (+0.83%) / WTI $98
Iran uranium hold-back keeps oil volatility; KRW approaches 1,520 level.
5/21(Thu)
KOSPI7,815.59+8.42%
S&P 5007,400-0.37%
NASDAQ26,050-0.50%
USD/KRW1,497+0.58%
WTI101.00+3.77%
BTC77,262+0.60%
VIX17.44-2.13%

KOSPI surged +8.42% on Samsung labor deal, buy sidecar triggered. Oil rebounded to $101 as Iran's Supreme Leader ordered uranium retention despite US-Iran peace talks. S&P and Nasdaq fell 0.5% on Treasury yield pressure.

Key Issues

KOSPI +8.42% surge, buy sidecar triggered
Samsung labor deal + NVIDIA beat drove foreign net buying reversal.
US-Iran 'final stages' remark → oil dropped then rebounded
Trump's peace talk hopes faded after Iran's uranium retention directive.
NVIDIA beat fails to extend AI rally
Treasury yields + profit-taking dragged Nasdaq down 0.5%.
Walmart -6.4% plunge on consumer slowdown fears
Guidance cut led S&P decline. Salesforce also fell 4.3%.
5/20(Wed)
KOSPI7,208.95-0.86%
S&P 5007,427.15+1.00%
NASDAQ26,180.88+1.20%
USD/KRW1,488-0.86%
WTI97.33-6.55%
BTC76,800-0.31%
VIX17.82-0.78%

NVIDIA Q1'27 beat across all metrics — revenue $81.6B (+85% YoY), Q2 guidance $91B topped even whisper numbers. Dividend raised 25x + $80B buyback approved. Samsung strike settled at last minute. S&P +1% rebounds on energy stabilization.

Key Issues

NVIDIA Q1'27 beat on all fronts — Revenue $81.6B, EPS $1.87, DC $75.2B
Beat $79B estimate. Data Center +92% YoY. Gross margin held at 75.0%.
Q2 guidance $91B — topped $90B whisper, Vera-Rubin cycle begins
$91B guidance even excluding China. Jensen: 'AI factory buildout accelerating.'
NVDA dividend 25x raise + $80B buyback — massive shareholder return
Dividend $0.01→$0.25, $80B repurchase on $48.6B FCF base.
Samsung strike settled — 48K workers' walkout averted at last minute
Deal reached D-1 on May 18. Supply disruption fears resolved, KOSPI rebound expected.
5/19(Tue)
KOSPI7,272-3.25%
S&P 5007,353.61-0.67%
NASDAQ25,870.71-0.84%
USD/KRW1,501+0.80%
WTI103.00-4.63%
BTC76,565-0.56%
VIX17.96-6.46%

Google I/O unveiled Gemini 3.5 Flash + 24/7 AI agent Spark. 30Y Treasury hit 5.19%, highest in 19 years. KOSPI -3.25% with KRW 1.65T foreign selling; Samsung and Hynix correction continues. Trump called off Iran strike but relief limited.

Key Issues

Google I/O: Gemini 3.5 Flash + 24/7 AI agent Spark unveiled
Flash beats 3.1 Pro while running 4x faster. Spark is an always-on agent that works even when device is off.
30Y Treasury at 5.19% — 19-year high, valuation pressure day 3
S&P down 3 days straight. Growth stocks weak under rate pressure.
KOSPI -3.25%, foreigners sold KRW 1.65T — memory correction continues
Samsung and Hynix both down. Hanwha Aerospace +4.32%, defense only bright spot.
Trump calls off Iran strike — oil drops to $103, relief limited
Strike cancelled at Gulf allies' request. Geopolitical uncertainty remains.
5/18(Mon)
KOSPI7,516.04+0.31%
S&P 5007,403.05-0.07%
NASDAQ26,090.73-0.51%
USD/KRW1,445-0.21%
WTI108.00+0.93%
BTC77,000-4.94%
VIX19.20+6.31%

10Y Treasury at 4.6%, 30Y at 5.134% — highest since 2007. CPI-PPI energy shock translating to inflation, Fed rate cut expectations fully evaporated; rate hike bets rising. Dow +0.32% only green, Nasdaq -0.51% tech weakness.

Key Issues

30Y Treasury at 5.134% — highest since 2007, valuation pressure intensifies
CPI-PPI energy shock translating to inflation, Fed rate cut expectations fully evaporated.
Seagate CEO: Full capacity still can't meet demand, no factory expansion planned
2026 fully allocated, taking 2027 H1 orders. Supply constraints = pricing power.
Supply constraints cut both ways — up in bull markets, down in bear markets
Fixed production + rising prices. Bull market = margin expansion; bear market = growth ceiling concerns.
NVDA Q2 earnings 5/21 — market direction deciding event
NVIDIA reports Wednesday; first guidance after US-China deal in focus.
5/15(Fri)
KOSPI7,493.18-6.12%
S&P 5007,408.5-1.24%
NASDAQ26,225.14-1.54%
USD/KRW1,493+0.23%
WTI105.42+4.20%
BTC79,066-2.45%
VIX18.43+6.78%

KOSPI plunged 6.12% to 7,493.18 after touching 8,046 intraday — foreigners dumped a record KRW 5.6T and a circuit breaker triggered. Samsung -8.61% and SK Hynix -7.66% led the rout. Five factors converged — Trump-Iran, 10Y 4.5%+, USDKRW 1,500, Samsung strike risk, and overheated valuations.

Key Issues

KOSPI -6.12% / -488p crash — record 8,046 intraday before sell-side circuit breaker
Just after breaking 8,000 for the first time, foreigner selling avalanche dragged the index down 488.21 points.
Foreigners sold KRW 5.6195T (near record single-day), institutions sold another KRW 1.7396T
Concentrated selling of Samsung and SK Hynix drove the move; KOSPI 200 futures -5% triggered the sidecar.
Samsung -8.61% (KRW 270,500) and SK Hynix -7.66% (KRW 1,819,000) plunge together
Memory big-2 fell 7-8% in a single day, giving back part of the April rally accumulation.
USDKRW touched 1,500 + US 10Y above 4.5% + WTI $105.42 (+4.20%) — triple macro pressure
Trump's hawkish Iran remarks lifted oil, FX spiked, and bond yields rose simultaneously.
KOSPI 12M forward PER 30x vs S&P 22x — overvaluation profit-taking + Samsung strike May 21 imminent
KOSPI's 12M forward PER of 30x stands at a heavy overvaluation premium versus S&P's 22x.
5/14(Thu)
KOSPI7,981.41+1.75%
S&P 5007,501.24+0.77%
NASDAQ26,635.22+0.88%
USD/KRW1,490-0.21%
WTI101.17+0.15%
BTC81,051+2.24%
VIX17.26-3.41%

KOSPI closed at a record 7,981.41 (+1.75%) as KB Securities raised its 2026 target from 7,500 to 10,500 (+40%). SK Hynix's forward PER overtook Samsung's for the first time. S&P 7,501.24 (+0.77%) and NASDAQ 26,635.22 (+0.88%) notched fresh highs.

Key Issues

KOSPI 7,981.41 (+1.75%) record high — another 137 points, fourth straight ATH
Despite foreign selling, retail and institutions added 137 points for a fourth consecutive record close.
KB Securities lifted 2026 KOSPI target from 7,500 to 10,500 (+40%)
With Samsung and SK Hynix's combined KOSPI 200 weight above 50%, KB sees the 8,000 mark imminent.
SK Hynix forward PER overtakes Samsung for the first time — memory pricing-power reordering
Validates HBM and server DRAM pricing power and accelerates the device-side spread narrative.
Samsung and SK Hynix cross 50% of KOSPI 200 weight for the first time — single-industry concentration deepens
The AI super-cycle narrative and single-industry concentration risk surface together.
US markets also hit fresh highs — S&P 7,501 and NASDAQ 26,635, rally extends past hot PPI 6%
VIX eased to 17.26, NASDAQ 100 added +0.88% for a first-ever close above 26,635.
5/13(Wed)
KOSPI7,844.01+2.63%
S&P 5007,444.25+0.58%
NASDAQ26,402.34+1.20%
USD/KRW1,448-1.58%
WTI101.50-0.50%
BTC80,300-0.75%
VIX18.06-1.74%

KOSPI 7,844 (+2.63%) hit record close despite KRW 2.7T foreign selling, defended by retail and institutions. Trump arrived in Beijing for Xi summit on trade, Iran, Taiwan. US markets shrugged off hot 6% PPI as S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs.

Key Issues

Trump arrives in Beijing — summit with Xi on trade, Iran, and Taiwan begins
Negotiating further tariff cuts from 30% to 10%, discussing US-China Board of Trade.
KOSPI 7,844 record close — retail and institutions defend against 5-day foreign selling
Foreigners sold KRW 2.7T; retail bought 2.1T and institutions 0.5T, driving rebound.
Bessent-He Lifeng meeting at Incheon — US-China economic chiefs pre-summit talks
Working-level coordination before summit, discussing rare earths, agriculture, aircraft.
US PPI 6% YoY — 2026 high, 10Y yield hits 4.47%
Despite wholesale inflation shock, tech-led rally pushed S&P and Nasdaq to new highs.
5/12(Tue)
KOSPI7,643.15-2.29%
S&P 5007,368.36-0.60%
NASDAQ26,033.66-0.91%
USD/KRW1,471+0.67%
WTI102.01+2.02%
BTC80,910-0.39%
VIX18.38+1.49%

KOSPI 7,643 (-2.29%) pulled back as Samsung strike talks collapsed, with walkout set for 5/21. US fell on CPI 3.8% shock — S&P -0.6%, NASDAQ -0.9%. Google-SpaceX orbital data center talks reported.

Key Issues

Samsung strike talks collapsed — walkout set for 5/21, JPM estimates KRW 43T loss
Union rejected after 17-hour talks; Apple and HP inquiring about supply contingencies.
Korea export data — MoM SSD +63%, HBM +19%; YoY 165-500% surge
AI server demand drove enterprise memory ASP explosion; consumer SSDs down 30-40%.
Google-SpaceX orbital data center talks — Project Suncatcher 2027 launch
TPU-equipped solar satellite cluster for orbital AI cloud; designing with Planet Labs.
US CPI 3.8% — 3-year high, Fed rate cut hopes fade
S&P 500 -0.6% and NASDAQ -0.9% as AI chip stocks saw profit-taking.
5/11(Mon)
KOSPI7,822.24+4.32%
S&P 5007,412.84+0.19%
NASDAQ26,274.13+0.10%
USD/KRW1,461-0.10%
WTI99.99+6.09%
BTC81,224+1.66%
VIX18.11+6.97%

KOSPI 7,822.24 (+4.32%) surged to intraday 7,899, triggering a sidecar halt. Samsung +6.3% and SK hynix +11.5% hit all-time highs; retail investors net bought KRW 2.9T. Trump rejected Iran's proposal, sending WTI +6% back to $100; US markets flat on oil concerns.

Key Issues

KOSPI 7,822.24 (+4.32%) — hit intraday 7,899 with sidecar, 4th straight record
Samsung +6.3% and SK hynix +11.5% both hit all-time highs as AI semiconductor rally exploded.
Retail investors net bought KRW 2.9T — 'ants' bet heavily on semiconductors
Individual investors drove the index higher by buying Samsung and SK hynix despite institutional profit-taking.
Trump rejected Iran proposal — WTI +6% back to $100
Hormuz blockade enters 10th week; UAE and Kuwait intercepted hostile drones, raising ceasefire collapse fears.
S&P 500 7,412 (+0.19%) and NASDAQ 26,274 (+0.10%) at flat records
VIX 18.11 (+6.97%) showed rising volatility as surging oil prices weighed on macro sentiment.
Alphabet eyes first-ever yen bond — funding $190B AI CapEx
Mizuho, BofA, MS to underwrite hundreds of billions of yen following €9B euro and $6.2B dollar bonds.
5/8(Fri)
KOSPI7,498+0.11%
S&P 5007,387.69+0.69%
NASDAQ26,119.45+1.21%
USD/KRW1,463+1.28%
WTI94.25-0.59%
BTC79,900-0.14%
VIX16.93-0.88%

KOSPI was flat at 7,498.00 (+0.11%) but Samsung Electronics and SK hynix gained 2~3% to fresh highs. SK Securities raised Samsung's target to KRW 500K and SK hynix's to KRW 3M; Daishin and Goldman lifted KOSPI targets to 8,800 and 9,000. The NASDAQ closed at a new record (+1.21%).

Key Issues

Samsung +2.07%, SK hynix +3.31% — chip stocks at fresh highs
Foreign buying rode long-term supply agreement expansions and big-tech CapEx expectations.
SK Securities lifts targets to KRW 500K (Samsung), KRW 3M (SK hynix)
The report's memory re-rating thesis dominated the trading floor.
Daishin lifts KOSPI target to 8,800; Goldman to 9,000
Both shops cited earnings normalization and repeated record breakouts.
NASDAQ 26,119 (+1.21%), S&P 500 7,387 (+0.69%) — fresh records
VIX 16.93 cooled volatility back into the risk-on regime.
USD/KRW 1,462.96 (+1.28%) — May 7 won strength reverses
FX volatility reopened after the prior session's sharp won move.
5/7(Thu)
KOSPI7,490.05+1.43%
S&P 5007,337.11-0.38%
NASDAQ25,806.2-0.13%
USD/KRW1,444-2.00%
WTI94.81-0.28%
BTC80,010-1.74%
VIX17.08-1.78%

KOSPI rose to 7,490.05 (+1.43%) for a second straight all-time high. US stocks took a small pullback from May 6 records as investors eyed Iran developments. USD/KRW dropped -2.0% to 1,444.45, accelerating won strength.

Key Issues

KOSPI 7,490.05 (+1.43%) — second straight all-time high
Foreign buying in semis and large caps extended the record run.
USD/KRW 1,444.45 (-2.0%) — won strength accelerates
Stable FX and Korean equity strength pulled foreign capital in fast.
WTI $94.81 — US-Iran deal hopes anchor oil below $100
Hopes of reopening Hormuz extended the crude downtrend into May 7.
S&P 500 -0.38%, NASDAQ -0.13% — modest pullback from records
US stocks paused to digest Iran headlines and the oil move after fresh highs.
Uber beat, AppLovin raised Q2 guide
Mobility and AI ad platforms each reaffirmed double-digit growth.
5/6(Wed)
KOSPI7,384.56+6.45%
S&P 5007,365.12+1.46%
NASDAQ25,838.94+2.02%
USD/KRW1,452-1.72%
WTI100.05-4.10%
BTC82,320+1.27%
VIX17.39+0.06%

KOSPI 7,384.56 (+6.45%) smashed through 7,000 for the first time — Samsung +16% joins the $1T club. US-Iran deal imminent sent WTI -4.1% to $100; S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit fresh records. AMD +20% and ARM +23% surged.

Key Issues

KOSPI 7,384.56 (+6.45%) — breaks 7,000 for the first time, Samsung joins $1T club
Samsung +16% (KRW 270,000) hit all-time high, SK hynix surged in tandem — semiconductor rally exploded.
US-Iran deal imminent — Hormuz normalization hopes sent WTI -4.1% to $100
Trump announced 'Project Freedom' pause; oil gave back most of the April spike.
AMD +20% — Data Center +57% YoY growth plus raised guidance
Following +5.5% AH the prior day, AMD surged further as AI GPU diversification gains traction.
ARM +23.35% — unveiled first in-house AI data center CPU 'Arm AGI'
Q4 revenue $1.49B (+20% YoY) and EPS $0.60 beat; added +8% after hours.
S&P 500 7,365.12 (+1.46%) and NASDAQ 25,838.94 (+2.02%) at fresh records
VIX 15.5 (-11.2%) plunged as risk appetite spread across all sectors.
5/5(Tue)
KOSPI6,936.990.00%
S&P 5007,259.22+0.81%
NASDAQ25,326.13+1.03%
USD/KRW1,477+0.44%
WTI104.33-1.97%
BTC81,286+1.85%
VIX17.45-4.59%

KOSPI was closed for Children's Day (last close 6,936.99 held). US set fresh highs — S&P +0.81%, NASDAQ +1.03% — as AMD's Q1 triple beat (AH +5.5%) and an optical recovery reignited AI multiples. WTI fell -1.97% to $104.33 on Hormuz ceasefire progress.

Key Issues

AMD Q1 triple beat (AH +5.5%) — Data Center +57% YoY redefines the growth engine
Adj EPS $1.37, revenue $10.25B and DC $5.8B all topped consensus, with Q2 guide ~$11.2B beating by +6.5%.
AMD-Meta up to 6GW Instinct deployment + Samsung HBM4 supply for MI455X
Meta starts with 1GW custom MI450 and is a major customer for next-gen EPYC 'Venice/Verano', strengthening AI GPU diversification.
Lumentum FY26 Q3 revenue +90% YoY at a record — Q4 guide +100% YoY
EPS $2.37 and revenue $808M with GM +540bp and Op Margin +700bp QoQ — clear evidence of an optical-cycle recovery.
S&P 500 7,259.22 (+0.81%) and NASDAQ 25,326.13 (+1.03%) at fresh highs
VIX 17.45 (-4.59%) reflected strengthening risk appetite as small caps and tech outperformed large caps.
WTI -1.97% to $104.33 — Hormuz ceasefire progress eases oil
Iran-UAE de-escalation signals partly unwound the late-April spike, easing the macro overhang.
5/4(Mon)
KOSPI6,936.99+5.12%
S&P 5007,200.75-0.41%
NASDAQ25,067.8-0.19%
USD/KRW1,471-0.01%
WTI106.42+4.39%
BTC79,810+2.06%
VIX18.29+7.65%

KOSPI hit a record 6,936.99 (+5.12%) — SK Hynix +12.52% and Samsung +5.44% drove it close to 7,000. Meanwhile, UAE intercepting Iranian missiles lifted Middle East risk: S&P 500 -0.41%, Dow -1.13%, WTI +4.39% to $106.42.

Key Issues

KOSPI hits record 6,936.99 (+5.12%) — SK Hynix +12.52%, Samsung +5.44% near 7,000
Foreign and institutional investors bought a combined KRW 5T, fueling a chip rally to a fresh high.
UAE intercepts Iranian missiles — first since ceasefire, US stocks slide
S&P 500 -0.41%, NASDAQ -0.19%, Dow -1.13% as renewed Middle East tension weighed on risk appetite.
WTI +4.39% to $106.42 — briefly topped $107 on Iran headlines before settling
Crude futures spiked nearly 5% intraday on Iran-linked reports, then settled at $106.42 after UAE intercept.
Chevron and Exxon beat Q1 estimates — but shares fall on refining-margin pressure
CVX adj EPS $1.41 vs $0.92 consensus and XOM $1.16 vs $1.07 both beat handily, yet shares closed lower on margin pressure.
Pinterest Q1 — revenue +18% YoY, ad recovery narrows losses
Ad demand recovery lifted revenue past consensus and narrowed the net loss, signaling digital-ad rebound.
5/1(Fri)
KOSPI6,598.80.00%
S&P 5007,230.12+0.29%
NASDAQ25,114.44+0.89%
USD/KRW1,471-0.21%
WTI101.94-2.98%
BTC78,200+2.90%
VIX16.88-8.81%

US session closed April earnings season at fresh records — S&P 500 +0.29% and NASDAQ +0.89% to all-time highs. AAPL +3% and CAT's big beat carried the final leg. WTI fell -2.98% to $101.94 on Hormuz ceasefire optimism; KOSPI was closed for Labor Day.

Key Issues

AAPL Q2 FY26 big beat, regular-session +3% — last leg of April's record run
iPhone 17 demand drove the beat, and Cook's memory-cost guide confirmed the cycle is spreading into device companies.
S&P 500 7,230.12 and NASDAQ 25,114.44 all-time highs — Russell 2000 +2.21% joins in
Big-tech earnings relief plus Hormuz ceasefire optimism extended the risk-on bid into small caps and cyclicals.
CAT earnings beat + record backlog for data-center power generation
AI data-center power-generation demand drove a record backlog, with analysts uniformly raising price targets.
RBLX -24% / EL +12% — single-name dispersion on the last day of earnings season
Roblox cut FY26 bookings guidance -11~13% on gaming ARPU softness, while Estee Lauder raised guidance on luxury-cosmetics recovery.
WTI -3% to $101.94 — Hormuz ceasefire hopes + Exxon/Chevron net income -45/-36%
Ceasefire optimism pulled WTI back to the $100 line, while Exxon/Chevron reported sharp profit drops on refining-margin pressure.
4/30(Thu)
KOSPI6,598.8-1.38%
S&P 5007,209.01+1.03%
NASDAQ24,892.31+0.89%
USD/KRW1,475+0.07%
WTI105.07-1.69%
BTC75,995-1.02%
VIX18.51+2.71%

S&P 500 cleared 7,200 (+1.0%) and closed April +5.5% — the best month since 2020 — while KOSPI gave back to 6,598.80 (-1.38%). AAPL Q2 was a big beat (+3.6% AH); Tim Cook explicitly guided "significantly higher memory costs next quarter." Memory pricing cycle has crossed from hyperscalers to device companies.

Key Issues

AAPL Q2 FY26 big beat, +3.6% after-hours
Revenue $111.18B (+17% YoY, all-time quarterly high), EPS $2.01 (vs $1.94 cons.), iPhone $57B (+22%) and Services $31B all-time highs.
Cook's memory-cost guidance — cycle reaches device companies
Cook flagged "significantly higher memory costs next quarter" — non-CapEx device companies now use the same vocabulary as hyperscalers.
Apple-Google Gemini Siri deal — model outsourced, silicon stays in-house
Apple takes Gemini for Siri's AI core but keeps Apple Silicon internal, separating chip design from model training in the ASIC narrative.
S&P 500 first close above 7,200, April best month since 2020
S&P +1.0% to 7,209.01, NASDAQ 24,892.31 (+0.9%), Dow 49,652.14 (+1.6%) all new records, April +5.5%.
KOSPI 6,598.80 (-1.38%) — record streak ends, but April best in 28 years
Intraday high 6,750.27 then -1.38% profit-taking, but April monthly gain was Korea's best since 1998.
4/29(Wed)
KOSPI6,690.9+0.75%
S&P 5007,135.95-0.04%
NASDAQ24,673.24+0.04%
USD/KRW1,478+0.36%
WTI106.88+6.62%
BTC76,085-1.04%
VIX18.09+0.39%

FOMC held 8-4, the most dissents since October 1992, while Big Tech earnings split sharply after the bell. GOOGL +4% (Cloud +63%, backlog $460B nearly doubled) was the cleanest beat; META -6.15% on FY26 CapEx +$10B was the deepest cut. MSFT/AMZN triple beats drifted lower on CapEx scale — ROI pressure overwhelmed every other narrative.

Key Issues

FOMC Holds 8-4 — Most Dissents Since 1992
Rates held at 3.5-3.75%; Miran preferred -25bp, Hammack/Kashkari/Logan opposed the easing-bias language.
GOOGL +4% AH — Cloud +63%, Backlog $460B Nearly Doubled, Cleanest Beat
Revenue $109.9B / EPS $5.11; Cloud $20.0B (+63% YoY) +11% above consensus, backlog nearly doubled QoQ.
META -6.15% AH — Beat Across the Board but FY26 CapEx Guide +$10B
Revenue $56.31B (+33% YoY) and EPS $10.44 beat handily, but FY26 CapEx guide raised $115-$135B → $125-$145B hit ROI directly.
MSFT/AMZN Triple Beats Still Drift Lower — Absolute CapEx Weighs
MSFT (Azure ex-FX +39%) flat as CapEx came below expectations; AMZN (AWS +28%, highest in 15Q) -1.6% on FY26 CapEx ~$200B.
Brent $118·WTI $107 Surge, KOSPI 3rd Straight Record Close
Trump's Iran blockade rhetoric pushed WTI decisively above $100 first time in April; KOSPI 6,690.90 (+0.75%).
4/28(Tue)
KOSPI6,641.02+0.39%
S&P 5007,138.8-0.49%
NASDAQ24,663.8-0.90%
USD/KRW1,472-0.11%
WTI99.24+2.98%
BTC77,200-1.84%
VIX18.02-6.68%

An OpenAI revenue-weakness report sparked a coordinated AI-chip sell-off (NVDA, AMD, AVGO), pulling Nasdaq -0.90% and S&P -0.49%. KOSPI closed at 6,641.02 (+0.39%), its first ever close above 6,600. After hours, BE surged +9.6% and STX jumped +13% — distributed datacenter power and AI storage cycles printed in tandem.

Key Issues

BE Q1 Blowout + Oracle Jupiter 2.45GW Deal, +9.6% AH
Revenue $751M (+130% YoY, +39% above consensus), adjusted EPS $0.44 (3.4x consensus), FY26 revenue guide raised from ~60% to ~80%.
STX FY26 Q3 Big Beat + Q4 Guide +13%, Up +13% AH
Revenue $3.11B (+44% YoY) and EPS $4.10 (+116% YoY) beat across the board, Q4 revenue guide $3.5B is +13% above consensus.
OpenAI Revenue Weakness Report Hits AI Chips, Nasdaq -0.90%
OpenAI weakness report drove an AI-chip sell-off in NVDA·AMD·AVGO; MSFT (Apr 29) is the next checkpoint.
Brent Tops $111, WTI Approaches $100 — Hormuz Blockade Day 7
Brent +2.71% to $111.16 (fresh April high) and WTI +2.98% to $99.24 as the Hormuz blockade chokes ~20% of global energy.
KOSPI First Close Above 6,600 — Second Straight Record
+0.39% to 6,641.02, the first-ever close above 6,600 and second consecutive record; April +28% MTD still leads G20.
4/27(Mon)
KOSPI6,615.03+2.15%
S&P 5007,173.91+0.12%
NASDAQ24,887.1+0.20%
USD/KRW1,470-0.48%
WTI96.00+1.70%
BTC78,650+0.67%
VIX19.31+3.21%

Monday's US session printed another record close — S&P 500 +0.12% and Nasdaq +0.20% to fresh highs. The session's biggest swing factor: Microsoft's exclusive partnership with OpenAI is ending — a structural AI infra power shift. KOSPI broke 6,600 for the first time at 6,615.03 (+2.15%), with total market cap crossing KRW 6,000 trillion.

Key Issues

KOSPI Tops 6,600 for the First Time — Market Cap Breaks KRW 6,000T
KOSPI rallied +2.15% through 6,600 for the first time as total market cap crossed KRW 6,000T; April's ~28% gain still leads G20.
Microsoft–OpenAI Exclusive Partnership Officially Ends
Ahead of MSFT earnings, the announcement signals AI infra power is reshuffling: OpenAI multi-cloud accelerates while MSFT leans in-house.
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Both Print Fresh Record Highs — 7,173 / 24,887
AI momentum overwhelmed stalled Iran talks and oil volatility, while Dow lagged at -0.13% as index-level decoupling deepened.
Strait of Hormuz Blockade Drags On — Brent Intraday $108, WTI Near $96
Brent touched ~$108 and WTI hit $96.70 before settling near $96; stalled Pakistan-mediated talks and May OPEC+ are next swing factors.
VIX Reclaims 19 — Big Tech Earnings Hedging + Geopolitical Premium
VIX rose +3.2% from 18.71 as option hedging built into MSFT, META, AAPL and AMZN earnings.
4/26(Sun)
KOSPI6,475.630.00%
S&P 5007,165.08+0.80%
NASDAQ24,836.6+1.63%
USD/KRW1,476-0.28%
WTI94.40-1.50%
BTC77,460-0.85%
VIX18.71-3.11%

A new week begins. Last week, the S&P 500 gained +0.55% and the Nasdaq rose +1.5%, while the SOXX semiconductor ETF is up +28.77% for April — its largest monthly gain in its 25-year history. The SOX index posted an 18-day consecutive gain, the longest streak ever recorded. Key events this week include Big Tech earnings in full swing (Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta) and whether US-Iran talks resume. If Pakistan-mediated second-round talks succeed, downward pressure on oil prices is expected; if they collapse, WTI may retest $100. KOSPI is up +26.4% for April, leading all G20 equity markets, with a tug-of-war expected between foreign profit-taking and further upside momentum.

Key Issues

Big Tech Earnings Kick Off — MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META Reporting This Week
Microsoft (Apr 29), Meta (Apr 30), Apple & Amazon (May 1) report earnings. AI investment efficiency and cloud growth rates are key focus points
US-Iran Pakistan-Mediated Second Round — Key Variable for Oil Direction
FM Araghchi's Pakistan visit signals possible resumption of talks. Success = oil decline; failure = risk of WTI retesting $100
KOSPI Up +26.4% in April — #1 Among G20 Markets, Tug-of-War Expected
Far outpacing Japan's Nikkei (+15.2%) and US S&P 500 (+8.9%). Potential correction if foreign selling continues vs. sustained momentum
Chip ETFs Make History — SOXX Best Monthly Gain Ever, SOX 18-Day Streak
SOXX +28.77% (April), SMH +21.91%. SOX's 18-day consecutive gain is the longest ever recorded. Overheating debate vs. structural bull case
4/25(Sat)
KOSPI6,475.630.00%
S&P 5007,165.08+0.80%
NASDAQ24,836.6+1.63%
USD/KRW1,476-0.28%
WTI94.40-1.50%
BTC77,460-0.85%
VIX18.71-3.11%

A historic week comes to a close. Intel surged +23.65% on a Q1 earnings surprise (EPS $0.29 vs. est. $0.01), its best single-day gain since 1987. AMD and ARM each rallied +14% in sympathy. The SOX index extended its streak to 18 consecutive days of gains — the longest ever recorded — while chip ETFs SOXX and SMH saw a record $5.45 billion in April inflows. US markets hit fresh all-time highs: S&P 500 at 7,165.08 (+0.80%) and Nasdaq at 24,836.60 (+1.63%). KOSPI is up +26.4% for April, the #1 performer among G20 equity markets, while Nvidia's market cap reclaimed $5 trillion. The VIX fell to 18.71 (-3.11%), down 40% from its March peak of 31, as fear rapidly dissipates from markets.

Key Issues

Intel +23.65% — Best Day Since 1987, Q1 EPS $0.29 vs. Est. $0.01
Data center revenue +22% YoY ($5.1B), AI CPU demand surges. CEO Lip-Bu Tan signals 'Intel turnaround'. Stock now up +124% YTD
SOX 18-Day Winning Streak — Longest Ever, April Surge of +45%
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index sets all-time record with 18 consecutive up days. SOXX 17-day streak (+42%), SMH 13-day streak (+33%)
Record Chip ETF Inflows — SOXX & SMH See $5.45B in April
SOXX attracted $2.05B, SMH $3.4B. Combined single-month inflow is the highest ever for the semiconductor ETF category
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Hit All-Time Highs — 7,165 / 24,836
US-Iran peace hopes + Intel-led Big Tech rally. Nasdaq's 13-day winning streak is the longest since 1992
VIX at 18.71 — Down 40% from March Peak of 31, Fear Dissipating
Risk-on sentiment rebounds sharply post-US-Iran ceasefire. Break below 19 signals room for further rally
4/24(Fri)
KOSPI6,475.630.00%
S&P 5007,165.08+0.80%
NASDAQ24,836.6+1.63%
USD/KRW1,475-0.36%
WTI94.40+0.28%
BTC78,126+0.41%
VIX18.84-0.95%

KOSPI ended flat at 6,475.63 (0.00%), pausing a three-day record run as foreign investors net sold 1.95 trillion won ($1.31 billion). KOSDAQ, however, broke above 1,200 — its first close above the 1,200 mark since the 2000 dot-com era. US markets shook off the prior session's IBM/ServiceNow disappointment as Intel's blowout earnings reignited chip leadership and Nvidia retook the $5 trillion market cap, sending S&P 500 to 7,165.08 (+0.80%) and Nasdaq to 24,836.60 (+1.63%) — both fresh all-time highs. WTI crude edged up to $94.40 (+0.28%), notching a fifth straight gain but with momentum sharply slowing on news of restarted US-Iran talks in Pakistan. VIX fell to 18.84 (-0.95%), breaking decisively below the psychologically significant 19 threshold. USD/KRW extended its strength to 1,475.19 (-0.36%), and Bitcoin edged up to $78,126 (+0.41%), holding near the $80K level in a momentum-check zone.

Key Issues

Intel Earnings Surprise — Chip Leadership Returns, Nvidia Retakes $5T Market Cap
Intel posted blowout quarterly results, signaling a comeback in the AI chip race. Nvidia simultaneously retook the $5 trillion market cap milestone, leading the broader Big Tech rally and erasing the prior session's IBM/ServiceNow disappointment
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Hit Fresh Records — 7,165 · 24,836 on Iran Peace Hopes + Tech Surge
News of restarted US-Iran talks in Pakistan plus an Intel/Nvidia-led tech rally pushed S&P 500 to 7,165 and Nasdaq to 24,836, both at new all-time highs
KOSPI Pauses 3-Day Record Run — Foreign Net Selling Tops 1.95 Trillion Won
KOSPI closed flat at 6,475.63 (-0.18 pts) after briefly breaking 6,500 intraday. Foreign investors net sold 1.95 trillion won, but KOSDAQ broke 1,200 — first time since 2000
KOSDAQ Breaks 1,200 — First Time Since the 2000 Dot-Com Era
KOSDAQ Composite climbed above 1,200 for the first time since the 2000 dot-com bubble — a 26-year milestone confirming small/mid-cap tech strength
VIX Falls Below 19 — Fear Gauge Normalizes Further to 18.84
VIX dropped to 18.84 (-0.95%), breaking decisively below the psychologically significant 19 threshold. Down 39% from its late-March peak of 31, confirming risk-on dominance
4/23(Thu)
KOSPI6,475.81+0.90%
S&P 5007,108.4-0.41%
NASDAQ24,438.5-0.89%
USD/KRW1,481-0.30%
WTI94.14+1.85%
BTC77,810-0.49%
VIX19.02-0.83%

SK Hynix posted record-breaking Q1 results: KRW 52.6 trillion in revenue, KRW 37.6 trillion in operating profit, and a stunning 72% operating margin — far surpassing TSMC's 58.1%. This marks a dramatic turnaround from -67% margin in Q1 2023 to +72% in just three years. KOSPI soared to an intraday high of 6,557.76, breaking through 6500 for the first time ever, before closing at 6,475.81 (+0.90%) for its third consecutive record. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) extended its streak to 16 consecutive days of gains — the longest on record since 1994 — surging 39% over the past month. However, U.S. markets pulled back on IBM and ServiceNow earnings disappointments and persistent Iran tensions: S&P 500 fell to 7,108.40 (-0.41%) and Nasdaq to 24,438.50 (-0.89%). WTI crude climbed to $94.14 (+1.85%), its fourth straight day of gains, as Iran's continued restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz weigh on supply concerns.

Key Issues

SK Hynix Posts Record Earnings — 72% Operating Margin Crushes TSMC
SK Hynix Q1 2026: KRW 52.6T revenue, KRW 37.6T operating profit, 72% margin. A dramatic reversal from -67% in Q1 2023. HBM and server DRAM drove the stellar results
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index 16-Day Streak — Longest Since 1994
SOX index posts 16 consecutive days of gains, the longest winning streak on record. Up 39% over the past month. Credo Technology +115%, Astera Labs +93%
KOSPI Breaks 6500 — Third Straight Record High
KOSPI hit intraday high of 6,557.76, breaking 6500 for the first time. Samsung Electronics closed at KRW 224,500 (+3.22%), SK Hynix at KRW 1,225,000 (+0.16%) — both at record highs
IBM, ServiceNow Disappoint — Software Stocks Tumble
IBM fell 8% despite beating estimates after maintaining guidance. ServiceNow plunged 18%. Broad software sector weakness dragged Nasdaq lower
WTI Breaks $94 — Fourth Straight Day of Gains on Iran Tensions
Iran continues to restrict Strait of Hormuz international shipping. WTI crude rose to $94.14 (+1.85%), threatening $100 again
4/22(Wed)
KOSPI6,417.93+0.46%
S&P 5007,117.81+0.76%
NASDAQ24,657.57+1.64%
USD/KRW1,485+0.88%
WTI92.43+3.08%
BTC78,194+3.18%
VIX19.18-1.60%

KOSPI surged to a record high of 6,417.93 (+0.46%), breaking through the 6400 level for the first time in history. President Trump announced an indefinite extension of the US-Iran ceasefire, sparking a global rally with S&P 500 hitting 7,117.81 (+0.76%) and Nasdaq reaching 24,657.57 (+1.64%) — both new all-time highs. The VIX dropped to 19.18 (-1.6%), falling nearly 38% from its late-March peak of 31, signaling a full return to risk-on sentiment. However, WTI crude rose to $92.43 (+3.08%) as Iran refused to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while US naval blockades continue. USD/KRW edged up to 1,484.91 (+0.88%) but remained stable below 1,500. Bitcoin surged to $78,194 (+3.18%) — its highest since early February — on ceasefire optimism.

Key Issues

KOSPI Breaks 6400 — Record High at 6,417.93
KOSPI surpassed 6400 for the first time, setting a new all-time high. Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Samsung SDI led the rally with heavy foreign and institutional buying
Trump Announces Indefinite US-Iran Ceasefire Extension — Global Stocks Rally
President Trump declared an indefinite extension of the ceasefire with Iran. War fears dissipate as S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hit new all-time highs. Full risk-on mode resumes
VIX Drops to 19 — Fear Gauge Normalizes, Risk-On Returns
VIX fell to 19.18 (-1.6%), plunging 38% from its late-March peak of 31. Small caps outperforming large caps confirms the shift to risk-seeking behavior
Iran Refuses Hormuz Reopening — WTI Surges Past $92
Iran declared it will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz while US Navy continues vessel interceptions. WTI crude rose to $92.43 (+3.08%) on persistent supply concerns
Bitcoin Breaks $78K — Highest Since February
Bitcoin surged to $78,194 (+3.18%), reaching its highest level since early February. Ceasefire extension announcement lifted risk assets across the board. $80K test in sight
4/21(Tue)
KOSPI6,388.47+2.72%
S&P 5007,064.01-0.63%
NASDAQ24,259.96-0.59%
USD/KRW1,472-0.54%
WTI93.50+5.02%
BTC75,787+2.66%
VIX18.87+5.30%

KOSPI surged to an all-time high of 6,388.47 (+2.72%), posting a 22.55% gain in April alone—the only major global market to rebound 20%+. Samsung Electronics (+2.1%) and SK Hynix (+4.97%) led the semiconductor-driven rally. Meanwhile, U.S. markets fell on ceasefire deadline jitters: S&P 500 closed at 7,064.01 (-0.63%) and Nasdaq at 24,259.96 (-0.59%). President Trump warned the U.S. military is 'ready to bomb' Iran if no deal is signed, and VP JD Vance's trip to join negotiations was paused due to Tehran's 'lack of commitment.' However, after market close, Trump announced the ceasefire would be extended until Iran submits a proposal, averting an imminent clash. VIX rose to 18.87 (+5.3%) as volatility concerns persisted, while USD/KRW strengthened to 1,472 (-0.5%).

Key Issues

KOSPI hits all-time high 6,388.47 — April +22.55% leads global rebound
KOSPI surged 2.72% to record high. April's 22.55% gain outpaces Taiwan TAIEX (16%), Nasdaq (13%). Samsung +2.1%, SK Hynix +4.97%
Trump warns 'ready to bomb' — D-1 before ceasefire expiry
President Trump warned U.S. military is ready to bomb Iran without a ceasefire extension. Tensions peak ahead of April 22 deadline
JD Vance Iran trip paused — Tehran commitment questioned
VP JD Vance's plan to join Iran negotiations paused due to 'lack of commitment' from Tehran. Deal collapse fears grow
S&P/Nasdaq fall on ceasefire uncertainty
S&P 500 -0.63%, Nasdaq -0.59% as ceasefire deadline looms + negotiations stall. VIX rises to 18.87 (+5.3%)
After-hours: Trump extends ceasefire until Iran proposal
After market close, Trump announced ceasefire extension until Iran submits a proposal. Imminent military clash averted for now
4/20(Mon)
KOSPI6,219+0.44%
S&P 5007,109.14-0.24%
NASDAQ24,404.39-0.26%
USD/KRW1,480+0.68%
WTI89.03+6.17%
BTC75,550+1.28%
VIX17.92+4.19%

The Nasdaq ended its 13-day winning streak (the longest since 1992) at 24,404.39 (-0.26%), while the S&P 500 slipped to 7,109.14 (-0.24%) as risk-off sentiment emerged following escalated U.S.-Iran tensions over the weekend. President Trump stated that extending the ceasefire beyond April 21 is 'unlikely' without a deal, while Iran attacked commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and reinstated passage controls, sending WTI surging 6.17% to $89.03. The U.S. Navy seized an Iranian vessel and fired on an Iran-linked ship in the Gulf of Oman, escalating the confrontation. KOSPI edged up to 6,219 (+0.44%) on continued foreign buying despite geopolitical risks, and the Russell 2000 hit a record high at 2,792.96 (+0.58%). VIX rose to 17.92 as volatility concerns grew.

Key Issues

Nasdaq snaps 13-day streak — longest since 1992 ends
Nasdaq fell 0.26% to 24,404.39, ending its 13-day winning streak. S&P 500 also slipped 0.24% to 7,109.14 as geopolitical tensions triggered risk-off shift
Trump: ceasefire extension 'unlikely' — D-1 before April 21 expiry
President Trump said extending the ceasefire is unlikely without a deal. Negotiations at standstill with just one day before the April 21 ceasefire expiration
Iran attacks vessels in Hormuz Strait — US Navy escalates
Iran attacked commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and reinstated passage controls. US Navy seized Iranian vessel + fired on Iran-linked ship in Gulf of Oman
WTI surges +6.17% to $89.03 — Middle East tensions reignite
WTI jumped to $89.03 (+6.17%) on Hormuz Strait disruption fears, recovering some of Friday's 11% plunge. Energy supply uncertainty resurfaces
Russell 2000 hits record high — small caps outperform
Russell 2000 rose 0.58% to 2,792.96, hitting all-time high. Rotation from large-cap tech to small caps observed
4/17(Fri)
KOSPI6,191.92-0.55%
S&P 5007,126.06+1.20%
NASDAQ24,468.48+1.52%
USD/KRW1,470-0.41%
WTI82.60-9.60%
BTC75,000+0.29%
VIX17.20-4.40%

The S&P 500 closed above 7,100 for the first time in history at 7,126.06 (+1.20%), while the Nasdaq surged to 24,468.48 (+1.52%) for its 13th consecutive daily gain—the longest winning streak since 1992. WTI crude collapsed -9.6% to $82.60, its lowest level since March 10, and Brent plunged -11.8% after Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi declared the Strait of Hormuz ‘completely open’ to commercial vessels for the duration of the ceasefire. President Trump welcomed the move but insisted the US Navy blockade of Iranian ports ‘remains in full force’ until a comprehensive peace deal is signed, with Washington and Tehran entering the final stretch of framework negotiations covering nuclear non-proliferation, $6B in frozen assets, and Hormuz transit fees ahead of the April 21 ceasefire expiration. KOSPI slipped to 6,191.92 (-0.55%) on profit-taking after a three-day rally, though US market strength and easing energy supply fears could fuel renewed foreign inflows in the next session, while the VIX fell to 17.2, extending the risk-on tone.

Key Issues

Iran Declares Strait of Hormuz ‘Completely Open’ — WTI Crashes -9.6% to $82.60
Iranian FM Araghchi declared Hormuz fully open to commercial vessels for the ceasefire period. WTI plunged to $82.60 (-9.6%), lowest since March 10; Brent fell -11.8%. Vessels must follow Iran's prescribed ‘coordinated route’
Trump: ‘US Blockade of Iranian Ports Remains’ — In Force Until Full Peace Deal
Trump thanked Iran for reopening Hormuz but insisted the US Navy blockade of Iranian ports ‘remains in full force’ until a comprehensive peace agreement is reached, reaffirming the standoff
S&P 500 Tops 7,100 First Time at 7,126.06 (+1.20%) — Nasdaq 13-Day Streak, Longest Since 1992
S&P 500 closed above 7,100 for the first time at 7,126.06 (+1.20%). Nasdaq rose to 24,468.48 (+1.52%) for its 13th consecutive positive session—longest winning streak since 1992
US-Iran Framework Deal Progress — Final Stretch Ahead of April 21 Ceasefire Expiry
Negotiators near a framework deal ahead of the April 21 expiration of the Pakistan-mediated two-week ceasefire. Sticking points: Iran's nuclear non-proliferation commitment, release of $6B frozen assets, and Hormuz transit fees. Second round of in-person talks being scheduled
KOSPI 6,191.92 (-0.55%) — Profit-Taking After 3-Day Rally
KOSPI eased -0.55% on profit-taking after three consecutive gains. US market risk-on momentum and easing Middle East supply concerns could revive foreign net buying in the next session
4/16(Thu)
KOSPI6,226+2.21%
S&P 5007,041.28+0.26%
NASDAQ24,102.7+0.36%
USD/KRW1,476-0.60%
WTI95.00+2.20%
BTC74,7860.00%
VIX18.00-1.20%

The S&P 500 hit a new record at 7,041.28 (+0.26%), while the Nasdaq rose to 24,102.70 (+0.36%), marking its 12th consecutive daily gain—the longest winning streak since 2009. TSMC reported a 58% surge in Q1 net profit (NT$572B), reaffirming strong AI chip demand, and raised its 2026 revenue guidance to 30%+ growth. KOSPI climbed to 6,226 (+2.21%), its highest in over a month, with foreign investors buying for a third straight day. WTI rebounded to $95 amid renewed uncertainty over US-Iran negotiations, while the VIX fell 1.2% to 18.0, indicating continued improvement in market sentiment.

Key Issues

S&P 500 & Nasdaq Hit New Records — Nasdaq's 12-Day Win Streak Longest Since 2009
S&P 500 hit a new all-time high at 7,041.28 (+0.26%). Nasdaq rose to 24,102.70 (+0.36%), marking 12 consecutive positive sessions—the longest streak since July 2009
TSMC Q1 Profit Surges 58% — Record NT$572B, AI Supercycle Confirmed
TSMC Q1 net profit NT$572.48B (+58% YoY), EPS NT$22.08 beat consensus. Raised 2026 revenue guidance to 30%+ growth, Q2 revenue forecast $39-40.2B
KOSPI 6,226 (+2.21%) — 1-Month High, Foreign Buying 3rd Day
KOSPI reached 6,226, highest in over a month. Foreign investors net buyers for third consecutive session on US-Iran deal optimism. Kosdaq also rose 0.91% to 1,162.97
WTI Rebounds to $95 — US-Iran Negotiation Uncertainty Resurfaces
WTI rebounded +2.2% to $95. Concerns over potential 2-week extension of US-Iran talks and prolonged Hormuz blockade. US crude inventories fell 9.13M barrels, supporting prices
ASML Earnings Beat — EPS €7.15 (+8.8%), Guidance Raised
ASML Q1 EPS €7.15 beat consensus €6.57 by +8.8%. FY revenue guidance raised to €36-40B (+€2B). EUV revenue 66% of total, memory equipment 37% (q-q +41%)
4/15(Wed)
KOSPI6,091.39+2.07%
S&P 5007,022.95+0.80%
NASDAQ24,016.02+2.12%
USD/KRW1,485+1.02%
WTI93.00+1.09%
BTC74,800+0.40%
VIX18.220.00%

The S&P 500 crossed the 7,000 threshold for the first time in history, closing at 7,022.95 (+0.80%). President Trump expressed confidence that the Iran war would end soon, fueling optimism for geopolitical risk easing. The Nasdaq also hit record highs, breaking through 24K to close at 24,016.02 (+2.12%), while KOSPI reclaimed the 6,000 level for the first time in a month, finishing at 6,091.39 (+2.07%) with SK Hynix (+5.87%) and SK Square (+10.34%) leading gains. Bitcoin climbed to $74,800 on $850M net inflows into spot ETFs. WTI stabilized around $93, easing energy inflation pressures, and VIX held flat at 18.22, signaling continued investor confidence.

Key Issues

S&P 500 Breaks 7,000 for First Time Ever — Records 7,022.95 on Iran Peace Hopes
S&P 500 gained +0.80% to break above 7,000 for the first time in history. President Trump expressed confidence in ending the Iran war, boosting risk appetite. Surpassed the January 28 intraday high of 7,002.28 to set a new all-time record
Nasdaq Breaks 24,000 — 24,016.02 (+2.12%), AI Rally Continues
Nasdaq jumped +2.12% to breach 24K and hit record highs. Tech stocks rallied broadly on Iran peace expectations and sustained AI infrastructure demand. Russell 2000 also gained +0.30%
KOSPI 6,091 (+2.07%) — Reclaims 6,000 Level
KOSPI closed above 6,000 for the first time in a month. SK Hynix (+5.87%), SK Square (+10.34%), HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (+3.35%) led gains. Foreign buying inflows on U.S.-Iran negotiation optimism and won strength
Bitcoin $74,800 — $850M Spot ETF Inflows, Rally Extends
Bitcoin climbed to $74,800, extending gains. $850M net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs over the past 24 hours. Market cap at $1.33T, widening gap with Ethereum ($233B)
Dow -0.15% — Only Index to Decline, Energy & Healthcare Profit-Taking
Dow Jones fell -0.15%, the only major index to close lower. Profit-taking in energy and healthcare sectors. Contrasts with S&P 500 and Nasdaq's record-breaking rally
4/14(Tue)
KOSPI5,960+3.02%
S&P 5006,967+1.18%
NASDAQ23,518+1.44%
USD/KRW1,470-2.79%
WTI92.00-7.00%
BTC74,500+4.60%
VIX18.20-15.20%

Oil prices plunged after Saudi Arabia announced the restoration of East-West pipeline pumping capacity. WTI fell to $92, down -7% from the previous day, easing global inflation concerns and reviving risk appetite. KOSPI surged +3% to 5,960, leading Asian markets higher, while USD/KRW dropped to 1,470 as the won strengthened further. Bitcoin rallied +4.6% to $74,500, reflecting risk-on sentiment. U.S. equities finished strongly with S&P 500 +1.18% (6,967) and Nasdaq +1.44% (23,518), fully wiping out losses from the Iran war. VIX plunged to 18.2, signaling a significant reduction in market anxiety.

Key Issues

Saudi Restores East-West Pipeline — WTI Plunges to $92
Saudi Arabia announced full restoration of East-West pipeline pumping to the Red Sea and Manifa field production restart. Hormuz bypass supply secured, easing supply concerns. WTI dropped -7% to $92, relieving energy inflation pressure
U.S. Stocks Wipe Out Iran War Losses — S&P 500 +1.18% (6,967)
Optimism over U.S.-Iran peace talks resumption drove S&P 500 +1.18% (6,967), Nasdaq +1.44% (23,518), and Dow +0.66% higher. Fully recovered all losses since Iran war outbreak. 10Y Treasury yield fell 4.9bp to 4.248%
KOSPI +3.02% (5,960) — Asian Markets Rally
Foreign buying inflows on eased inflation concerns from oil price drop. Samsung +2.5%, SK Hynix +3.8% strength. USD/KRW fell -2.8% to 1,470, won strength continues
Bitcoin Breaks $74,500 — 4-Week High
Risk appetite recovery on oil plunge + dollar weakness. Confirmed $70,000 support, rallied +4.6% to $74,500, hitting 4-week highs. BTC futures at $74,590
VIX Plunges to 18.2 — Fear Subsides
Fear index VIX dropped -15% from 21.5 to 18.2. Geopolitical risk easing and equity rally significantly reduce volatility. Entering normal range signals improved investor sentiment
4/13(Mon)
KOSPI5,808.62-0.86%
S&P 5006,886.24+1.02%
NASDAQ23,183.74+1.23%
USD/KRW1,482+0.60%
WTI99.08+2.60%
BTC74,485+5.27%
VIX19.12-0.57%

President Trump announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz immediately after Iran talks collapsed, sending WTI above $105 intraday before it settled back at $99.08 (+2.60%). However, U.S. equities rebounded on semiconductor and AI infrastructure strength. SanDisk (SNDK) jumped +7% on confirmed Nasdaq 100 inclusion on April 20, while Credo (CRDO) soared +12.8% on Jefferies' new Buy coverage with a $175 target. GPU rental leader CoreWeave (CRWV) also gained +8.1% on Meta $21B + Anthropic $6.8B contract momentum. S&P 500 rose +1.02% to 6,886.24, recovering to pre-war highs, and Nasdaq gained +1.23% to 23,183.74, extending the AI rally. Meanwhile, KOSPI fell -0.86% to 5,808.62 on Hormuz blockade risk, while Bitcoin jumped more than 5% to $74,485.

Key Issues

Trump Announces Hormuz Strait Blockade — WTI Tops $105 Intraday
Naval blockade ordered immediately after Iran talks collapse. WTI touched $105.63 intraday before settling at $99.08 (+2.60%). Threatens 20% of global oil supply. Emergency stockpile releases nearing limits, inflation concerns resurface
SanDisk (SNDK) +7% — Nasdaq 100 Inclusion Confirmed for 4/20, YTD +2,603%
Replacing Atlassian (TEAM) in Nasdaq 100. $600B+ passive funds including QQQ must buy. AI datacenter NAND demand explosion + memory shortage drove 25x surge in one year
Credo (CRDO) +12.8% — Jefferies Initiates Buy, $175 Target
AEC market leader crowned as core AI infrastructure name. Launched 800G 2xDR4 ZeroFlap transceivers + Cardinal 1.6T 3nm DSP. Revenue +201% YoY, gross margin 67.8%
CoreWeave (CRWV) +8.1% — Meta $21B + Anthropic $6.8B Contract Momentum
Top GPU rental beneficiary. $21B AI cloud deal with Meta through 2032, plus $6.8B Anthropic contract. 9 of top 10 AI models are customers. Debt expected to reach $40B
KOSPI -0.86% (5,808) — Asian Markets Fall on Hormuz Blockade Risk
Fell over -2% intraday before paring losses. Nikkei -1.09%, Hang Seng -1.22% also weak. USD/KRW rose to 1,482. Samsung Electronics fell 2.43% under profit-taking pressure
4/11(Sat)
KOSPI5,858.87+1.40%
S&P 5006,816.89-0.11%
NASDAQ22,902.89+0.35%
USD/KRW1,505+1.75%
WTI95.63-2.29%
BTC71,889-1.52%
VIX19.23-1.33%

The U.S.-Iran peace talks in Islamabad collapsed after a 21-hour marathon negotiation. VP Vance stated Iran's refusal to commit to abandoning nuclear weapons development was the core reason, leaving a 'final and best offer' before returning to Washington. Iran's Tasnim news agency blamed 'excessive demands' and reported no plans for follow-up talks. All four key issues — nuclear program dismantlement, Strait of Hormuz reopening, cessation of Israeli attacks in Lebanon, and release of frozen funds — remained unresolved. With the April 22 ceasefire expiry approaching, risks of military escalation are rising. KOSPI rebounded +1.40% to 5,858.87, while S&P 500 (-0.11%) and Dow (-0.56%) dipped slightly but posted their best weekly gains since November (S&P +3.6%, NASDAQ +4.7%). Bitcoin hovered near $71,889 and VIX settled at 19.23.

Key Issues

U.S.-Iran Islamabad Talks Collapse After 21 Hours — No Follow-Up Planned
VP Vance left Pakistan after presenting 'final and best offer.' Four key issues unresolved: nuclear dismantlement, Hormuz reopening, Lebanon ceasefire, frozen funds. Iran blames 'excessive demands,' reports no next round. April 22 ceasefire expiry raises escalation risk
KOSPI +1.40% (5,858.87) — Rebounds After 3-Day Dip
Bounced from previous -1.61% decline. Foreign investors turned net buyers. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix posted modest gains
U.S. Stocks Post Best Week Since Nov — S&P +3.6%, NASDAQ +4.7%
Despite Friday dip (S&P -0.11%, Dow -0.56%), weekly gains were stellar. Iran ceasefire effect + benign core CPI + VIX below 20 (19.23). Eight consecutive session gains ended
Bitcoin Hovers at $71,889 — Limited Reaction to Talks Collapse
Pulled back -1.52% after previous +6.84% surge to $72,998. Holding $70K support despite geopolitical risks. Exchange reserves at 7-year low, whale accumulation continues
4/10(Fri)
KOSPI5,858.87+1.40%
S&P 5006,816.89-0.11%
NASDAQ22,902.89+0.35%
USD/KRW1,479-0.11%
WTI95.63-2.29%
BTC72,998+6.84%
VIX19.49-7.50%

March CPI came in at 3.3% YoY — the highest since April 2024 — but markets digested the data calmly. Gasoline prices surging +21.2% due to the Iran war drove headline inflation higher, while core CPI remained benign at +0.2% MoM / 2.6% YoY, keeping Fed rate cut expectations intact. Nasdaq (+0.35%, 22,902.89) edged higher, but S&P 500 (-0.11%, 6,816.89) and Dow (-0.56%, 47,916.57) ended their eight-day winning streak. Still, on a weekly basis, the S&P 500 gained +3.6% and Nasdaq +4.7% — the best week since November. VIX dropped below 20 to 19.49, its lowest since surging past 30 in March, with Fundstrat calling it the 'third sign the bottom is in.' KOSPI rose +1.40% to 5,858.87, rebounding after a single day of profit-taking. Bitcoin surged +6.84% to $72,998, testing the $73K level again. WTI eased to $95.63 (-2.29%) as ceasefire hopes kept oil prices stable.

Key Issues

March CPI 3.3% — Iran War Energy Inflation Spike, but Core Prices Benign
Headline CPI +0.9% MoM / 3.3% YoY, highest since April 2024. Gasoline +21.2% accounted for three-quarters of the increase. Core CPI +0.2% / 2.6% stayed tame, supporting the 'transitory energy shock' narrative. Fed rate cut expectations maintained
U.S. Stocks Mixed — 8-Day Win Streak Ends, Best Week Since November
Nasdaq (+0.35%) gained while S&P 500 (-0.11%) and Dow (-0.56%) snapped their eight-day winning streak. Weekly performance was stellar: S&P 500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +4.7%, Dow +3% — best week since November
VIX 19.49 — Drops Below 20, Fundstrat Calls 'Third Bottom Signal'
VIX fell below 20 for the first time since surging past 30 in March. Fundstrat interprets this as the third confirmation signal that the S&P 500 has bottomed. Energy no longer top sector pick
KOSPI +1.40% (5,858.87) — Rebounds After a One-Day Pullback, Semis Lead
Rebound after a one-day pullback from the +6.87% surge on 4/8. SK Hynix gained 2.91% to 1,027,000 won, back above the 1 million won mark, and Samsung Electronics rose 0.98% to 206,000 won
Bitcoin $72,998 (+6.84%) — Tests $73K Again as Risk Appetite Returns
Surged +6.84% from $68,322 to $72,998. Iran ceasefire expectations and declining VIX fueled risk-on sentiment. A break above $73K could test $75K resistance
4/9(Thu)
KOSPI5,778.01-1.61%
S&P 5006,824.66+0.62%
NASDAQ22,822.42+0.83%
USD/KRW1,481+0.14%
WTI97.87+3.08%
BTC68,322-1.64%
VIX21.07+0.14%

Global markets traded mixed as uncertainty over the U.S.-Iran ceasefire resurfaced. With Tehran officially claiming ceasefire violations, WTI crude rebounded +3% to $97.87 after plunging -16% the previous day. U.S. equities extended their winning streak to seven consecutive sessions, though gains were modest. S&P 500 (+0.62%, 6,824.66) and Nasdaq (+0.83%, 22,822.42) edged higher, while the Dow (+0.58%, 48,185.80) finally turned positive for 2026 (+0.25% YTD). KOSPI closed down -1.61% at 5,778.01 as profit-taking emerged after the previous day's +6.87% surge. Bitcoin pulled back -1.64% to $68,322 after touching $72,000 on ceasefire euphoria. USD/KRW rose slightly to 1,480.71, though the won remains at its strongest level since March amid robust external fundamentals.

Key Issues

Iran Officially Claims Ceasefire Violations — Two-Week Truce in Doubt
Tehran officially claimed U.S. violated ceasefire terms, reigniting market uncertainty. WTI rebounded +3% to $97.87 after -16% plunge. Elevated caution over ceasefire sustainability
U.S. Equities Extend 7-Day Win Streak — Dow Turns Positive for 2026
S&P 500 (+0.62%), Nasdaq (+0.83%), Dow (+0.58%) gained modestly. S&P 500 posts longest winning streak since October. Dow finally turns positive for 2026 at +0.25% YTD
WTI $97.87 (+3%) — Oil Rebounds on Ceasefire Uncertainty
Crude rebounded +3% after -16% plunge. Briefly topped $100 intraday before settling at $97.87. Brent also rose ~1% to $95.92. Oil direction hinges on ceasefire durability
KOSPI -1.61% (5,778) — Profit-Taking After +6.87% Surge
Profit-taking emerged after previous day's +6.87% rally. Foreign and institutional investors net sellers. SK Hynix retreated from 1M won threshold; Samsung held 200K won level
Bitcoin $68,322 (-1.64%) — Pullback After $72K Touch
Profit-taking after ceasefire-driven rally to $72,000. Crypto volatility index (BVIX) declining. Key support at $67,000-$68,000 being monitored
4/8(Wed)
KOSPI5,872.34+6.87%
S&P 5006,782.81+2.51%
NASDAQ22,635+2.80%
USD/KRW1,499-0.58%
WTI94.41-16.02%
BTC68,200+1.34%
VIX18.40-22.15%

Global markets surged on news of a two-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire. President Trump announced a suspension of attacks on Iran for two weeks, providing relief from the five-week Middle East conflict. S&P 500 (+2.51%, 6,782.81) and Nasdaq (+2.80%, 22,635) soared, while the Dow (+2.85%, 47,909.92) posted its best single-day gain since April 2025. WTI crude plunged -16% to $94.41 — the biggest daily drop since April 2020 — significantly easing energy inflation concerns. KOSPI surged +6.87% to close at 5,872.34, with Samsung Electronics finally reclaiming the 200,000 won level. SK Hynix jumped +9.06% to 999,000 won, on the verge of reaching the '1 million won Hynix' milestone. However, uncertainty remains as Iran's parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf claimed the U.S. has already violated the ceasefire agreement.

Key Issues

U.S.-Iran Two-Week Ceasefire — Five-Week Conflict Paused, Relief Rally
President Trump announced a two-week suspension of attacks on Iran. The five-week Hormuz Strait blockade and military tensions temporarily eased, triggering a global equity rally. However, Iran claims the U.S. has already violated the agreement, keeping uncertainty elevated
WTI -16% Plunge ($94.41) — Biggest Daily Drop Since April 2020
Ceasefire agreement sparked expectations of Hormuz Strait reopening, sending WTI from $116 to $94.41 (-16%). The biggest single-day drop since April 2020 significantly eased energy inflation pressure. Fed rate cut expectations revived
S&P 500 +2.51%, Dow +2.85% — Best Day Since April 2025
S&P 500 (+2.51%, 6,782.81), Nasdaq (+2.80%, 22,635), Dow (+2.85%, 47,909.92) surged in unison. AI stocks Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, AMD, and Micron rallied 4-10% as risk-on sentiment exploded
KOSPI +6.87% (5,872) — Samsung Reclaims 200K Won, SK Hynix +9%
KOSPI surged +6.87% to 5,872.34 on U.S.-Iran ceasefire news. Samsung Electronics reclaimed the 200,000 won level. SK Hynix jumped +9.06% to 999,000 won, on the verge of the '1 million won Hynix' milestone
Ceasefire Uncertainty — Iran Speaker Claims 'U.S. Already Violated Agreement'
Near market close, Iran's parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf claimed the U.S. had already violated the two-week ceasefire. Indices pulled back from session highs. Market remains cautious about ceasefire sustainability
4/7(Tue)
KOSPI5,494.78+0.82%
S&P 5006,616+0.08%
NASDAQ22,017+0.10%
USD/KRW1,508-0.09%
WTI116.00+3.57%
BTC66,800-0.74%
VIX28.30+4.43%

Samsung Electronics reported Q1 2026 preliminary earnings with operating profit of 57.2 trillion won — an all-time record. Revenue reached 133 trillion won (YoY +85%) with an operating margin of 43%, nearly double the 2018 supercycle peak (23.6%). HBM4 mass production starting in February and explosive AI infrastructure demand drove the stellar results. KOSPI rose +0.82% to 5,494.78, with Samsung Electronics (+3.71%, 193,100 won) approaching the 200,000 won mark and SK Hynix (+1.14%) also gaining. U.S. markets closed mixed amid escalating Iran tensions, with S&P 500 (+0.08%), Nasdaq (+0.10%), while WTI surged to $116 — the highest since 2022 — reigniting energy inflation concerns.

Key Issues

Samsung Q1 Operating Profit 57.2T Won — All-Time Record, Memory Supercycle Confirmed
Samsung Electronics Q1 2026 preliminary results: Revenue 133T won (YoY +85%), OP 57.2T won (YoY +755%), OPM 43%. HBM4 production and AI infrastructure demand confirm the structural nature of the memory supercycle. Profitability far exceeds the 2018 peak (OPM 23.6%)
KOSPI +0.82% (5,494) — Samsung Nears 200K Won, Semiconductors Lead
Samsung's earnings surprise lifted KOSPI +0.82% to 5,494.78. Samsung Electronics (+3.71%, 193,100 won) is approaching the 200,000 won mark. SK Hynix (+1.14%, 886,000 won) also gained. KOSDAQ diverged at -1.02% (1,036.73)
U.S. Markets Close Flat — Cautious Amid Iran Tensions, WTI Hits $116
S&P 500 (+0.08%, 6,616), Nasdaq (+0.10%, 22,017), Dow (-0.18%, 46,584) closed mixed. Broadcom (+4.5%, Alphabet TPU deal) and Intel (+3%, xAI deal reports) led gains. Apple (-4%, foldable iPhone setback reports) weighed on sentiment
WTI $116 — Highest Since 2022, Hormuz Blockade Concerns Persist
WTI surged to $116, the highest since 2022. Prolonged Hormuz Strait blockade and escalating Iran Kharg Island airstrikes drove the rally. Energy inflation pressure weighs ahead of the April 10 CPI release
Notable Moves — Apple Foldable Setback, Broadcom-Alphabet TPU Deal, Intel-xAI Talks
Nikkei reported Apple's foldable iPhone testing setback, triggering -4% decline. Broadcom jumped +4.5% on long-term Alphabet TPU supply agreement. Intel gained +3% on reports of potential xAI semiconductor development deal
4/6(Mon)
KOSPI5,450+1.36%
S&P 5006,611+0.44%
NASDAQ21,996+0.54%
USD/KRW1,5090.00%
WTI110.82-0.65%
BTC66,800-0.30%
VIX27.10-2.10%

KOSPI rose +1.36% to 5,450 led by institutional buying ahead of Samsung Electronics' Q1 preliminary earnings (April 7). Samsung surged +3.79% on expectations of 50T+ KRW operating profit surprise. Reports of U.S.-Iran 45-day ceasefire negotiations maintained end-of-war optimism. S&P 500 (+0.44%, 6,611) and Nasdaq (+0.54%, 21,996) edged higher on ceasefire hopes, though trading volume remained below average ahead of Tuesday's ultimatum deadline. Brent crude dipped to $110.82 (-$0.72) but held above $110, keeping inflation pressure intact.

Key Issues

Samsung +3.79% — Q1 OP 50T+ KRW Surprise Expected, Preliminary Earnings Tomorrow
Consensus rapidly upgraded — Meritz Securities KRW 53.9T, Citigroup KRW 51T. Samsung rallied 3.79% on DRAM price surge (+630%) and HBM4 mass production ramp expectations
KOSPI +1.36% (5,450) — Institutional Buying, Semiconductor Sector Strength
Institutional buying focused on Samsung (+3.79%) and SK Hynix (+0.91%). KOSPI reclaimed 5,450 level, pricing in Samsung earnings expectations ahead of tomorrow's release
U.S.-Iran 45-Day Ceasefire Talks — Tension Rises Ahead of Tuesday Ultimatum
U.S., Iran, and regional mediators discussing 45-day ceasefire terms, but chances of partial deal before Tuesday deadline remain slim. Markets pricing both ceasefire hope and escalation risk simultaneously
S&P 500 +0.44% (6,611), Nasdaq +0.54% (21,996) — Modest Gains on Ceasefire Hopes
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): 'Risk-reward quite good for stocks now.' Markets rose on ceasefire optimism but volume below average ahead of Tuesday deadline and Thursday CPI
Brent $110.82 — Slight Dip but Holding $110, Inflation Pressure Persists
Oil dipped 72 cents on ceasefire talks but held above $110. Airline fuel surcharge tier 18 now effective, marking real economy transmission. Thursday's US March CPI is the key variable
4/5(Sun)
KOSPI5,450.210.00%
S&P 5006,537.220.00%
NASDAQ21,8200.00%
USD/KRW1,3450.00%
WTI108.50-3.50%
BTC67,300+0.43%

With global markets closed for the Easter holiday weekend, the second session of the multilateral Hormuz Strait reopening summit (April 4) produced a 'phased reopening roadmap,' significantly strengthening ceasefire momentum. Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement conditionally accepting the Muscat Protocol's maritime monitoring provisions, opening the possibility of extending the ceasefire to southern oil fields. Brent crude fell to $108.50 in Middle Eastern spot markets, raising prospects for a Monday gap-down, while Bitcoin edged up to around $67,300, confirming the $66,000 support level and stabilizing after its recent slide. Next week brings U.S. March CPI (April 10) and the start of earnings season with ASML (April 15) and TSMC (April 17), putting market conviction on inflation trajectory and AI infrastructure demand to the test.

Key Issues

Hormuz Multilateral Summit 2nd Session — 'Phased Reopening Roadmap' Agreed
The April 4 second session saw 38 nations agree in principle to a three-phase reopening roadmap (monitoring → partial reopening → full reopening). Phase 1 tanker transit resumption is targeted for mid-April, with Iran's sovereignty conditions partially accommodated to maintain negotiation momentum
Iran's IRGC Conditionally Accepts Muscat Protocol — Southern Oil Field Ceasefire Extension Expected
The IRGC issued an official statement conditionally accepting the Muscat Protocol's maritime monitoring provisions. The possibility of extending the ceasefire to southern oil fields (Khuzestan) has advanced the timeline for energy supply normalization
Brent Crude Falls to $108.50 — Weekend Middle East Spot Market Decline, Monday Gap-Down Expected
Brent crude dropped nearly $4 from $112.42 to $108.50 in Middle Eastern spot markets following the multilateral summit agreement. Dubai crude also weakened, with further gap-down expected when Western futures markets open Monday, easing energy inflation pressure
Key Events Next Week — CPI (4/10), ASML (4/15), TSM (4/17) Earnings Season Kickoff
U.S. March CPI data on Thursday will reveal the impact of oil price surges on headline inflation. The following week, ASML and TSMC earnings will be the decisive moment for gauging actual damage to AI infrastructure demand post-TurboQuant shock
Bitcoin at $67,300 — $66,000 Support Confirmed, Slight Weekend Recovery
Bitcoin edged up to around $67,300 from its March 28 low of $66,008, confirming $66,000 as a key support level. Still in the 'fear' zone, the market is consolidating sideways, awaiting direction from the upcoming earnings season
4/3(Fri)

With U.S. markets closed for Good Friday (NYSE and Nasdaq), Iran and Oman officially signed the 'Muscat Protocol' establishing a joint coordination center to monitor vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, sparking a wave of geopolitical risk relief. KOSPI surged +2.74% (5,377), recovering much of the previous session's -4.47% plunge, as foreign investors turned net buyers for the first time in 12 trading days. The U.S. March nonfarm payrolls came in at 178K, significantly beating the 135K consensus, confirming labor market resilience, while Brent crude remained elevated at $112.42.

Key Issues

Iran-Oman Sign 'Muscat Protocol' — Joint Hormuz Strait Monitoring Agreement
Iran and Oman agreed to establish a joint coordination center for monitoring vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, stepping back from the brink of a total maritime blockade. The diplomatic breakthrough, reached after three weeks of intense negotiations, triggered a broad market relief rally
KOSPI +2.74% (5,377) — Foreign Investors Turn Net Buyers After 12-Day Selling Streak
KOSPI surged +2.74% to 5,377.30 on Muscat Protocol optimism. SK Hynix (+6.1%) and Samsung Electronics (+4.7%) led the rebound. Foreign investors turned net buyers for the first time in 12 sessions, signaling improved sentiment
U.S. March NFP 178K — Beats 135K Consensus, Labor Market Stays Resilient
March nonfarm payrolls released on Good Friday came in at 178K, well above the 135K consensus. While confirming labor market strength, the data also pushed back Fed rate cut expectations and kept stagflation concerns alive
Brent Crude at $112.42 — Elevated Despite Protocol, Inflation Pressure Persists
Despite the Muscat Protocol signing, Brent crude remained at $112.42 as the agreement covers monitoring only, with full reopening of the strait requiring further negotiations. Energy supply uncertainty persists
Goldman Sachs Maintains S&P 500 Year-End Target of 7,600 — AI Productivity 'Execution Phase'
Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its S&P 500 year-end target of 7,600, defining 2026 as the 'Execution Phase' where AI transitions from infrastructure spending to tangible productivity gains. Projects 12% EPS growth with broadening rally beyond Magnificent Seven
4/2(Thu)

President Trump's primetime address on the Iran war shattered ceasefire hopes, vowing to 'strike Iran extremely hard over the next 2-3 weeks' and threatening to send the country 'back to the Stone Age.' Brent crude surged to $107.85 (+5.2%), and a multilateral summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz (35-40 nations) convened but ended its first session without concrete agreement. KOSPI initially broke above 5,500 continuing the prior day's rally, but crashed within 45 minutes of Trump's speech, closing at 5,234 (-4.47%). The S&P 500 (+0.11%, 6,582) and Nasdaq (+0.18%, 21,879) recovered from morning lows to close flat ahead of Good Friday.

Key Issues

Trump Delivers Primetime Iran War Address — 2-3 Weeks Duration, Energy Strike Warning
President Trump warned of direct strikes on Iranian energy facilities if negotiations fail, while suggesting the war could end within 2-3 weeks. Markets repriced the prolonged-war scenario, triggering broad risk-asset selling
Brent Surges to $107.85 (+5.2%) — WTI Nears $105, Energy Fears Reignite
Trump's energy strike warning sent Brent to $107.85 (+5.2%) and WTI to $104.70, jumping over $5 from the prior day's $102.50. Supply disruption fears resurfaced sharply. Energy sector rallied +2.8%
KOSPI -4.47% (5,234) — Surges Past 5,500 Before Crashing on Trump Speech
KOSPI initially rallied past 5,524 extending the prior day's momentum, but Trump's aggressive speech triggered a sharp reversal to 5,234.05 (-4.47%). SK Hynix (-7.05%) and Samsung Electronics (-5.91%) led the selloff. USD/KRW climbed to 1,519.7 as foreigners accelerated selling
Hormuz Strait Reopening Summit Begins — 35-40 Nations, First Session Ends Without Deal
A multilateral summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz convened with 35-40 participating nations, but Iran's sovereignty demands and the US push for full reopening remained at an impasse. Second session scheduled for April 4
SpaceX IPO Expected to Be Largest Ever — Estimated Valuation $350B
Reports indicate SpaceX is formally considering an IPO in H2 2026, with an estimated valuation of $350B that would make it the largest public offering in history. Starlink revenue growth (+120% YoY) and successful Starship commercial launches are driving the premium valuation
4/1(Wed)

Q2 2026 opened with a historic bang as President Trump's statement that 'military operations against Iran could be wrapped up in 2-3 weeks' ignited ceasefire euphoria. KOSPI exploded +8.44% to 5,478.70, triggering the buy-side sidecar for program trading. Institutions bought a record 4.03 trillion won net, fully recouping the four-day plunge in a single session. Samsung Electronics surged +13.40% and SK Hynix soared +10.66%, both posting double-digit gains. Brent crude eased from $108 to $102.50 as Iran's 48-hour ultimatum deadline approached, fueling hopes for diplomatic resolution.

Key Issues

Q2 2026 Opens — KOSPI Surges +8.44% on Trump Ceasefire Signal, Sidecar Triggered
Trump's declaration that Iran operations could end in 2-3 weeks sparked ceasefire euphoria. KOSPI surged to 5,478.70 (+8.44%), triggering the buy-side program sidecar. Institutions net bought a record 4.03 trillion won, fully recouping four days of losses. Samsung Electronics (+13.40%) and SK Hynix (+10.66%) posted double-digit gains
Iran 48-Hour Ultimatum Deadline Looms — Brent Falls to $102.50, Volatility Spikes
With Trump's 48-hour ultimatum (issued 3/31) set to expire on 4/2, Iran's foreign ministry signaled possible conditional participation in talks, sending Brent from $108 to $102.50 (-5.1%). However, the IRGC maintained its hardline stance, keeping uncertainty elevated
KOSPI +8.44% (5,478) — Sidecar Triggered, Record 4 Trillion Won Institutional Buying
Ceasefire hopes drove KOSPI to 5,478.70 (+8.44%), triggering the buy-side sidecar. Institutions net bought a record 4.03 trillion won (largest single-day institutional buying ever). Samsung Electronics (+13.40%) and SK Hynix (+10.66%) led with double-digit gains, fully recouping the four-day selloff in one session
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.2 — Second Straight Month of Contraction, Stagflation Fears Persist
The March ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.2, marking two consecutive months in contraction territory. Rising raw material costs from the oil spike are squeezing manufacturing margins, reinforcing the stagflation narrative. New orders sub-index fell to 46.5, signaling demand weakness
April Earnings Season Preview — ASML (4/15), TSM (4/17), AI Infra Results Are Key
The biggest Q2 event — April earnings season — kicks off in two weeks. ASML (4/15) and TSMC (4/17) AI infrastructure demand guidance will be the pivotal moment for semiconductor valuation reassessment post-TurboQuant shock. Consensus downward revision risk remains on watch
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