NewMoneyMoves
PerspectivesResearchTerminalsWeekend RWABoard
HAELANGDAL DATA TERMINAL

Memory 12M-Forward P/E TerminalDecomposing the 12-month-forward P/E of Samsung, SK hynix and Micron — forward-EPS inversion, historical trailing-P/E bands, quarterly EPS acceleration and year-end P/E cycles. Measured / consensus data only, nothing estimated

As of 2026-07-13
Samsung fwd 4.5X
3 names · upd 2026-07-28
자세히4.5XSamsung Electronics's 12-month-forward P/E sits below its 8-year historical low (5.0X) — the 0th percentile of its band. The market has never priced Samsung Electronics this cheaply against earnings; the forward-EPS surge is already in the price.
① MEMORY TRIO · FORWARD P/E

The Memory Trio, Decomposed

12M-forward P/E = price ÷ next-12-month consensus EPS. The gap between the forward (green) and trailing (TTM) multiple is the earnings rebound the market has already priced in. yf = yfinance's own forwardPE cross-check.

자세히
Samsung Electronics · KRW
4.5X FWD
trailing 17.6Xrebound 3.9x
SK증권 추정치 기준 · yf 3.4X
자세히
SK hynix · KRW
4.7X FWD
trailing 14.6Xrebound 3.1x
SK증권 추정치 기준 · yf 3.4X
자세히
Micron · USD
6.8X FWD
trailing 20.4Xrebound 3.5x
Bloomberg consensus 기준 · yf 5.9X
② P/E BAND · HISTORY vs NOW

P/E Band: Where the Forward Sits vs History

Box = the middle 50% of past trailing P/E (p25–p75), white line = median. Green = current forward, amber dashes = current trailing. A forward to the left of / outside the box means the market prices it at a historical low against earnings — the rebound is already in.

자세히
Horizontal band = historical trailing-P/E range · markers = current forward / trailing
0X10X20X30X40X50X60X70XSamsung ElectronicsKRW5.035.2med 13.1Xfwd 4.5Xtrl 17.6X8y history (n=30 quarters) · forward at the 0th pctileSK hynixKRW2.564.2med 9.0Xfwd 4.7Xtrl 14.6X7y history (n=25 quarters) · forward at the 12th pctile
Micron — band omitted (sparse history). forward 6.8X / trailing 20.4X
③ QUARTERLY EPS SURGE

Quarterly EPS Surge (Actuals)

Quarterly diluted EPS on each currency's own scale (KRW for Samsung / SK hynix, USD for Micron). Green bar = latest quarter, cyan = prior. The reason forward multiples look low: earnings surge quarter after quarter.

자세히
Quarterly diluted EPS · self-scaled by currency · green = latest quarter
Samsung ElectronicsKRWSamsung Electronics 2024-06 EPS 141924-06Samsung Electronics 2024-09 EPS 144024-09Samsung Electronics 2024-12 EPS 1115.9924-12Samsung Electronics 2025-03 EPS 119225-03Samsung Electronics 2025-06 EPS 73725-06Samsung Electronics 2025-09 EPS 180125-09Samsung Electronics 2025-12 EPS 2908.7925-12Samsung Electronics 2026-03 EPS 705626-037,056SK hynixKRWSK hynix 2024-06 EPS 598324-06SK hynix 2024-09 EPS 834424-09SK hynix 2024-12 EPS 11611.3824-12SK hynix 2025-03 EPS 1141125-03SK hynix 2025-06 EPS 958025-06SK hynix 2025-09 EPS 1785025-09SK hynix 2025-12 EPS 21850.525-12SK hynix 2026-03 EPS 5667026-0356,670MicronUSDMicron 2025-05 EPS 1.6825-05Micron 2025-08 EPS 2.8325-08Micron 2025-11 EPS 4.625-11Micron 2026-02 EPS 12.0726-02Micron 2026-05 EPS 24.6726-0524.7
④ TRAILING P/E CYCLE

Trailing P/E Cycle (TTM Earnings)

Trailing P/E on TTM earnings. ○ = year-end P/E (a lower-noise long view), dashes = cycle regimes. P/E spikes at earnings troughs (SK hynix's 2023 losses show as NM) and compresses at earnings peaks — so a low forward P/E means the market expects an earnings peak. Micron excluded (sparse history).

자세히
● Samsung Electronics · ● SK hynix · ○ year-end P/E (long view)
20202022202420260X10X20X30X40X2021 earnings peak (P/E trough)2023 losses (NM)2026 upcycle13.4XSamsung Electronics 2018 year-end P/E 5.0XSamsung Electronics 2019 year-end P/E 15.1XSamsung Electronics 2020 year-end P/E 18.9XSamsung Electronics 2021 year-end P/E 12.4XSamsung Electronics 2022 year-end P/E 6.4XSamsung Electronics 2023 year-end P/E 35.2XSamsung Electronics 2024 year-end P/E 10.5XSamsung Electronics 2025 year-end P/E 18.0Xloss NM7.6XSK hynix 2018 year-end P/E 2.5XSK hynix 2019 year-end P/E 30.1XSK hynix 2020 year-end P/E 16.2XSK hynix 2021 year-end P/E 9.0XSK hynix 2022 year-end P/E 22.4XSK hynix 2024 year-end P/E 6.0XSK hynix 2025 year-end P/E 10.7X
⑤ CONCLUSION · METHODOLOGY

Conclusion · Methodology

The gap between the two multiples is the earnings rebound the market has already priced in. Below is the record of how the data was assembled.

자세히
12MF P/E = 현재가 ÷ 향후 12개월 예상 EPS(컨센). 2026년 메모리 이익이 분기마다 폭증하며 forward EPS 가 실적을 크게 앞질러, 배수가 4~7X 로 압축돼 낮아 보인다. trailing(실적 TTM) P/E 는 이익이 아직 못 따라와 훨씬 높다 — 두 배수의 격차가 곧 시장이 이미 깔아 둔 이익 반등의 크기다.
분기 희석 EPS = BQL EPS_추이(2018~2025) + yfinance quarterly(2026) 병합, 종가는 yfinance. forward EPS 는 마이크론 yfinance 컨센 직접, 삼성·하이닉스는 SK증권 제시 배수로 역산. yfinance 자체 forwardPE 로 교차검증(삼성·하이닉스·마이크론 각각 아래 yfForwardPe). 마이크론은 BQL EPS 가 희소해 yfinance 실적만 사용.

Source: SK증권 반도체 한동희 (리서치 IT팀) — https://t.me/skitteam · yfinance (close / quarterly actuals / consensus) · BQL gen 2026-07-09 21:13 · as of 2026-07-13 · updated 2026-07-28. Read-only data display — no weights, targets, probabilities or trading advice.

NewMoneyMoves

Global Investment through Themes

Content

ThemesIdeasReportsEarnings

Explore

GuideETFsPerspectivesTelegramNVIDIA PortfolioWeekly ReviewCredit & Leverage

Community

Daily News

Legal

Privacy PolicyTerms of ServiceDisclaimer

© 2026 NewMoneyMoves. All rights reserved.