Planet Labs PBC
Planet Labs PBC · Space & Satellite (Earth Observation)
01Wall Street Consensus
02Company Guidance
03Earnings Results
Key Takeaways
- Q4 revenue $86.8M (+41% YoY) — +11.6% surprise vs consensus $77.8M, quarterly record
- Non-GAAP EPS $0.00 (consensus -$0.05 beat) — 5th consecutive quarter of Adj. EBITDA profitability
- FY2026 first-ever annual Adj. EBITDA profit ($15.5M) and first positive FCF ($52.9M)
- RPO $852.4M (+106% YoY), backlog $900M+ (+79% YoY) — strong revenue visibility
- Defense & Intelligence +50% YoY growth, SHIELD $151B IDIQ prime selection strengthens pipeline
- FY2027 Gross Margin guided at 50-52% — reflecting JSAT satellite build and Pelican Gen 2 investment
Key Checkpoints
- 01Defense & Intelligence segment revenue growth — whether +50% YoY pace maintained
- 02SHIELD $151B IDIQ prime contractor selection and actual order pipeline
- 03Pelican Gen 2 (30cm resolution) launch schedule and JSAT $230M contract progress
- 04Google Project Suncatcher orbital datacenter collaboration progress
- 05FY2027 Adj. EBITDA guidance — whether breakeven trajectory continues
- 06Bedrock Research acquisition synergies — AI solution customer expansion pace
Upside Catalysts
- SHIELD $151B IDIQ prime contractor — large-scale project bidding under MDA Golden Dome policy
- Google Suncatcher orbital datacenter — computing paradigm shift over the next decade
- NVIDIA GPU integration — RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell for 100x data processing speed improvement
- Pelican Gen 2 30cm resolution — FY2027 launch, expanding military and intelligence demand
- European defense satellite demand surge — Sweden military, Slovenia new contracts + Germany facility 2x expansion
- Planet Insight Platform — non-developers can build apps in 1 hour, expanding SMB civilian customers
Risk Factors
- FY2027 Gross Margin guidance at 50-52%, down from 59% — JSAT satellite service build costs
- CAPEX surging to $80-95M (~2x FY2026) — potential FCF pressure
- Customer count at 897, to become undisclosed going forward — large customer concentration risk
- Non-GAAP EPS still at breakeven — full profitability not until FY2028+
- Satellite launch delay/failure risk — orbital insertion failure would disrupt service delivery
EEPS History (Last 13 Quarters)
Actual EPS vs Consensus — Green Beat · Red Miss
1Earnings Summary
Planet Labs posted Revenue of $86.8M (+41.1% YoY, consensus $77.8M, +11.6% surprise) and Non-GAAP EPS of $0.00 (consensus -$0.05 beat) in Q4 FY2026, confirming accelerating growth.
For full-year FY2026, the company achieved Revenue of $307.7M (+26% YoY), its first-ever annual Adj. EBITDA profit ($15.5M) and first positive FCF ($52.9M). Cash also rose to $640M, up $418M YoY, securing ample investment capacity.
2Defense & Intelligence — Fastest Growing Segment
The Defense & Intelligence (D&I) segment accounted for approximately 18% of FY2026 revenue, growing over +50% YoY to record the highest growth rate among all segments.
The key catalyst was the SHIELD $151B IDIQ prime contractor selection (announced 3/3). The company is now qualified to directly bid on large satellite-based surveillance and early warning projects under the MDA Golden Dome policy, structurally expanding its pipeline on top of existing DIU, NGA, NRO, and NATO partnerships.
In Europe, surging defense spending due to the Iran conflict led to new customer acquisitions including the Swedish military and Slovenian government, while a 2x expansion of the Berlin manufacturing facility is being pursued in partnership with the German government.
3Pelican Satellite & Google Suncatcher
Pelican Gen 1 (50cm resolution) has 4 satellites operational in orbit, and Pelican Gen 2 launches with 30cm-class resolution begin in FY2027. The JSAT $230M contract (10 LEO Pelican satellites) is the core revenue source for the Satellite Services segment.
Google Suncatcher is an orbital datacenter project that equips Planet's Owl satellites with Google TPUs to perform AI computing in space. The target is to launch 2 demo satellites in early 2027, with a long-term vision of terawatt-scale orbital computing from an 81-satellite cluster.
NVIDIA collaboration is also expanding. Integration of RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell at ground stations confirmed a 100x improvement in satellite data processing speed, while IGX Jetson Thor edge GPUs are being installed on satellites.
4AI Solutions & Civilian Market
Technology from Bedrock Research (geospatial AI), acquired in November 2025, has reduced monitoring of 600 sites from 1 week to 3 hours. The Planet Insight Platform built on this technology allows non-developers to build custom satellite analysis apps within 1 hour, expanding to SMB civilian customers through a self-service model without sales costs.
Net Dollar Retention of 116% (118% including win-backs) and Recurring ACV of 98% demonstrate strong revenue expansion from existing customers and high predictability. However, the customer count of 897 will transition to undisclosed from FY2027, as the company explicitly chose a large customer concentration strategy.
5FY2027 Guidance & Margin Outlook
FY2027 Guidance:
- Revenue $415-440M (+35-43% YoY) — strong growth continues
- Gross Margin 50-52% (down from 59% in FY2026)
- Adj. EBITDA $0-10M (margin pressure zone)
- CAPEX $80-95M (~2x consensus $48M)
The margin decline is due to a deliberate investment cycle: 1. JSAT Pelican satellite construction costs (early-stage Satellite Services) 2. Pelican Gen 2 development and production 3. 2x facility expansion in San Francisco and Berlin 4. AI partnership fees (Google, etc.)
CFO Ashley Johnson stated she is 'confident in GPM recovery to 60%+ from FY2028', explicitly providing a timeline for when current investments will convert to earnings.
6Investment Implications
The stock surged +27-28% post-earnings, reaching a market cap of ~$8.5B. The key question is whether this rally is justified.
Positive factors:
- RPO $852M (+106%), backlog $900M+ — 2+ years of revenue visibility
- Structural growth in D&I segment driven by SHIELD + European defense
- Positioned as AI satellite platform leader through Google and NVIDIA partnerships
Cautionary factors:
- Short-term +28% surge creates profit-taking risk
- Entering FY2027 margin pressure zone (GM 50-52%)
- Potential FCF decline due to CAPEX surge
Key monitoring: Whether margins stabilize in the FY2027 Q1 (ending 4/30) results will be the next re-rating catalyst. SHIELD actual contract awards and the Pelican Gen 2 launch schedule should also be watched closely.
SEPS 서프라이즈 히스토리
분기별 EPS 컨센서스 대비 서프라이즈(%) — 막대: EPS, 점선: 매출
컨센서스 대비 실제 EPS/매출 서프라이즈 (%)