매크로 컨텍스트

테마

EV & Battery Value Chain

핵심 동인

  • North America EV sales growing 30%+ annually
  • IRA tax credits improving U.S. factory profitability
  • GM Ultium cell supply in full swing
  • Surging ESS (Energy Storage System) demand

리스크

  • Intensifying price competition from CATL/BYD
  • Utilization decline if EV demand slows
  • Raw material (lithium/nickel) price volatility
  • IRA policy change risk

애널리스트 컨센서스

최저 342,000 KRW최고 600,000 KRW
현재가컨센서스 목표가

2026. 6. 16. 기준

증권사애널리스트목표가투자의견
투자 기간: 12개월

모니터링 트리거

핵심 지표

  • Quarterly revenue and operating margin
  • North America factory utilization rate
  • Order backlog trend ($200B+)
  • IRA tax credit receipts

리뷰 트리거

  • Operating margin below 5% for two consecutive quarters
  • Major OEM order cancellation
  • CATL accelerates North America entry

무효화 조건

  • IRA tax credits abolished/significantly reduced
  • Backlog declines 20%+
  • EV demand turns negative

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Comments

생성: 2026. 2. 24.수정: 2026. 2. 24.가격 기준: 2026. 6. 16.