매크로 컨텍스트

테마

Defense & Aerospace

핵심 동인

  • U.S. defense budget sustained at $900B+
  • F-35 global orders of 3,000+ units
  • Surging missile defense demand (THAAD/PAC-3)
  • Space segment growth (GPS III, satellite communications)

리스크

  • U.S. government shutdown/budget cuts
  • F-35 cost overruns and delivery delays
  • Valuation concern (P/E 20x+)
  • Supply chain issues (semiconductors/materials)

애널리스트 컨센서스

최저 480 USD최고 740 USD
현재가컨센서스 목표가

2026. 6. 15. 기준

증권사애널리스트목표가투자의견
투자 기간: 12개월

모니터링 트리거

핵심 지표

  • Quarterly backlog ($160B+)
  • F-35 delivery count
  • Missile segment revenue growth rate
  • FCF yield trend

리뷰 트리거

  • F-35 delivery delays of 3+ months
  • U.S. defense budget cut proposal
  • Backlog declines 5%+

무효화 조건

  • Structural F-35 program reduction
  • U.S. defense budget cut of 10%+
  • Key allies select alternative weapons

Related ETFs

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Comments

생성: 2026. 2. 24.수정: 2026. 2. 24.가격 기준: 2026. 6. 15.