매크로 컨텍스트

테마

U.S. Big 4 Defense

핵심 동인

  • Explosive global Patriot/THAAD missile defense demand
  • Pratt & Whitney GTF engine service revenue growth
  • U.S. defense budget sustained at $900B+
  • European defense spending increase → missile defense export expansion

리스크

  • P&W GTF engine quality issues (powder metal recall)
  • U.S. government shutdown/budget cuts
  • Delivery delays/cost overruns
  • Valuation premium

애널리스트 컨센서스

최저 144 USD최고 230 USD
현재가컨센서스 목표가

2026. 6. 15. 기준

증권사애널리스트목표가투자의견
투자 기간: 12개월

모니터링 트리거

핵심 지표

  • Missile segment backlog
  • P&W engine service revenue
  • Defense budget allocation trends
  • FCF yield improvement trend

리뷰 트리거

  • P&W GTF recall additional costs
  • Missile orders decline QoQ
  • U.S. defense budget cut proposal

무효화 조건

  • P&W GTF engine structural defect confirmed
  • Missile defense demand sharp decline
  • Defense budget cut of 10%+

노트 타임라인

진입
2026. 2. 25. · NewMoneyMoves AI

Dual growth story: missile defense (Raytheon) + jet engines (P&W). GTF engine recall resolution is the stock re-rating catalyst. Missile backlog at record highs.

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Comments

생성: 2026. 2. 25.수정: 2026. 2. 25.가격 기준: 2026. 6. 15.