Amazon.com Inc.
Amazon.com Inc. · Big Tech (E-commerce/Cloud)
01Wall Street Consensus
02Earnings Results
Key Takeaways
- EPS $2.78 — beat consensus $1.62 by +72%, partially includes $16.8B pre-tax Anthropic investment gain
- Revenue $181.5B — beat consensus $177.0B by +2.5%, +17% YoY
- AWS revenue $37.6B — above consensus $36.8B, +28% YoY (highest growth in 15 quarters)
- AWS operating income $14.2B (vs prior-year $11.5B, +24%) — robust 37.7% margin
- Operating income $23.9B — beat consensus $20.9B by +14%, +30% YoY
- North America revenue $104.1B (+12%), op income $8.3B (vs $5.8B, +43%)
- International revenue $39.8B (+19%, ex-FX +11%), op income $1.4B (vs $1.0B)
- Ads TTM revenue crossed $70B, store unit growth +15% (highest since pandemic lockdown end)
- AI chips (Trainium etc) annual revenue run-rate crossed $20B, triple-digit YoY growth
- 2.1M+ AI chips delivered in last 12 months (over half Trainium)
- Bedrock token processing in Q1 exceeded all prior years combined, customer spend +170% QoQ
- Q2 revenue guide $194-199B (above consensus $189B), FY26 CapEx ~$200B
- Andy Jassy: 'AWS grew 28% on a massive base — highest growth in 15 quarters. We're at the heart of one of the biggest inflection points of our lifetimes'
Key Checkpoints
- 01AWS revenue growth rate — Q4 2025 +19% YoY baseline, reacceleration vs Azure/GCP
- 02AWS operating margin — 35%+ trajectory sustainment
- 03North America e-commerce operating margin expansion — 6%+ target
- 04Advertising revenue growth — $17B+ quarterly run rate
- 05AI/ML services contribution to AWS revenue mix
- 06International segment profitability — path to breakeven
Upside Catalysts
- AWS AI services (Bedrock, SageMaker, Trainium) driving higher-margin workload adoption
- Trainium2 custom chip deployment — reducing dependency on NVIDIA and improving cloud margins
- Advertising business reaching $70B+ annual run rate with expanding retail media network
- Same-day/next-day delivery network efficiency gains driving margin expansion
- Project Kuiper satellite internet launch — long-term connectivity revenue stream
Risk Factors
- AWS growth deceleration risk — hyperscaler competition intensifying with Azure and GCP
- Iran conflict driving oil to $107+ Brent — logistics costs rising, consumer spending pressure
- E-commerce margin headwinds from rising energy and transportation costs
- Google TurboQuant custom AI chip trend — potential reduction in AWS GPU instance demand
- Regulatory scrutiny: FTC antitrust actions and EU Digital Markets Act compliance costs
EEPS History (Last 14 Quarters)
Actual EPS vs Consensus — Green Beat · Red Miss
1Final Verdict
Amazon enters Q1 2026 with AWS reacceleration and advertising growth as dual profit engines. Consensus EPS $1.32, Revenue $155B. The key question is whether AWS can sustain 19%+ growth amid intensifying competition from Azure and GCP.
The Iran conflict creates mixed effects — rising fuel costs pressure e-commerce logistics margins, but enterprise cloud migration tends to accelerate during uncertainty as companies seek operational flexibility. Amazon's Trainium2 custom chips offer a strategic counter to the Google TurboQuant narrative.
With advertising now a $70B+ annual business and North America retail margins expanding above 6%, Amazon's profit profile has structurally transformed from the pre-2023 era.
2AWS & Cloud
AWS Performance:
- Q4 2025: Revenue $28.8B (+19% YoY)
- Operating margin: 35.2% — highest in AWS history
- AI services growing at 3x the pace of overall AWS
AI Strategy:
- Bedrock: Managed foundation model service (Anthropic Claude, Meta Llama, etc.)
- Trainium2: Custom AI training chip — deployed at scale in Q1 2026
- SageMaker HyperPod: Managed ML training infrastructure
- Positioning: Platform-agnostic AI cloud vs Google's vertically integrated approach
Google TurboQuant Response:
- Custom silicon trend validates Amazon's own Trainium/Inferentia strategy
- AWS offers choice — customers can use NVIDIA, AMD, or custom chips
- Differentiation through breadth of services, not just compute
3E-commerce & Advertising
E-commerce Margins:
- North America operating margin: 6.2% (Q4 2025) — structural improvement
- Same-day delivery hubs: 100+ US locations reducing last-mile costs
- Rising fuel costs ($107+ Brent) could pressure margins by 50-80 bps
Advertising:
- Q4 2025: $17.3B (+22% YoY)
- Annual run rate: $70B+ — 3rd largest digital ad platform globally
- Prime Video ads launched 2024 — still early innings
- High-margin revenue stream (est. 60%+ operating margin)
International:
- Path to profitability: India, LatAm, Middle East expansion
- Iran conflict creating uncertainty in Middle East operations but limited direct exposure
SEPS 서프라이즈 히스토리
분기별 EPS 컨센서스 대비 서프라이즈(%) — 막대: EPS, 점선: 매출
컨센서스 대비 실제 EPS/매출 서프라이즈 (%)