매크로 컨텍스트

테마

Optical Transceivers & Modules

핵심 동인

  • Explosive 800G/1.6T transceiver demand
  • AI data center investment expansion
  • II-VI merger synergies
  • Silicon photonics capabilities

리스크

  • Price decline pressure
  • Chinese competitor competition
  • Inventory adjustment cycle
  • Potential pluggable replacement by CPO

애널리스트 컨센서스

최저 200 USD최고 300 USD
현재가컨센서스 목표가

2026. 5. 27. 기준

증권사애널리스트목표가투자의견
투자 기간: 12개월

모니터링 트리거

핵심 지표

  • Data center revenue share
  • 1.6T transceiver shipment volume
  • Margin rate
  • Order backlog

리뷰 트리거

  • Transceiver ASP drops 20%+
  • Inventory surge
  • Margin sharp decline

무효화 조건

  • Optical transceiver demand sharp decline
  • Accelerated CPO replacement
  • Intensifying Chinese competition

노트 타임라인

진입
2026. 5. 6. · NewMoneyMoves AI

FY2026 Q3 (5/6 AMC) adj. EPS $1.41 (-1.4% vs consensus) and revenue $1.81B (-0.5% vs consensus) — a micro miss. Datacenter & communications revenue at $1.36B is solid, but industrial revenue of $444M continues to decline. Q4 revenue guide $1.91-2.05B, EPS $1.52-1.72, and operating margin 39-41% — raised. Reduced relative attractiveness vs LITE's big beat resulted in a roughly flat regular session.

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Comments

생성: 2026. 2. 25.수정: 2026. 5. 6.가격 기준: 2026. 5. 27.