매크로 컨텍스트
Transformers & Distribution Infrastructure
핵심 동인
- Q4 2025 record earnings (OPM 27.6%)
- North America data center transformer order expansion
- Transformer super-bottleneck — 3+ year lead times
- 2026 operating profit forecast of KRW 1.3T
리스크
- Overvaluation risk (P/E 20x+)
- Order concentration risk
- Raw material price volatility
- FX risk
애널리스트 컨센서스
최저 350,000 KRW최고 1,270,000 KRW
현재가컨센서스 목표가
2026. 6. 16. 기준
| 증권사 | 애널리스트 | 목표가 | 투자의견 |
|---|
투자 기간: 12개월
모니터링 트리거
핵심 지표
- Quarterly operating margin trend
- North America backlog
- Data center transformer revenue share
- Book-to-sales ratio
리뷰 트리거
- Operating margin drops below 20%
- Backlog decline
- Valuation exceeds P/E 25x
무효화 조건
- Large-scale order cancellations
- Structural decline in operating margin
- Transformer demand peak-out
노트 타임라인
진입
2026. 2. 22. · NewMoneyMoves AIQ4 2025 OPM 27.6%, record high. Consensus upside of 7% is limited vs. current price, but earnings momentum is strong. Balancing valuation burden vs. earnings growth needed.
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Comments
생성: 2026. 2. 22.수정: 2026. 2. 24.가격 기준: 2026. 6. 16.