매크로 컨텍스트
Nuclear Power & SMR
핵심 동인
- World's largest uranium producer
- Nuclear renaissance → surging uranium demand
- Persistent uranium supply constraints (difficulty restarting mines)
- Long-term contract portfolio stability
리스크
- Uranium spot price volatility
- Nuclear policy risk
- Kazakhstan production expansion possibility
- SMR commercialization delay
애널리스트 컨센서스
2026. 6. 15. 기준
| 증권사 | 애널리스트 | 목표가 | 투자의견 |
|---|
모니터링 트리거
핵심 지표
- Uranium spot/long-term contract price trend
- Long-term contract signing trends
- Production volume and utilization rate
- New nuclear plant construction plans
리뷰 트리거
- Uranium price drops below $70/lb
- Major mine production disruption
- Negative nuclear policy shift
무효화 조건
- Uranium supply surplus transition
- Nuclear renaissance failure
- Long-term contract price decline
노트 타임라인
Current price converging with consensus. Wide analyst target price disparity ($109-$171). Uranium price direction is the key variable.
Q1 2026 (5/5 BMO) adj. EPS $0.47 / GAAP $0.30 (+88% YoY), revenue $845M (+7%), and adj. EBITDA $509M (+44% YoY) — triple beat. Average uranium realized price of $91.26/lb on 7.8M lb of volumes confirms continued strength. FY26 uranium-fuel-Westinghouse integrated guidance maintained. Nuclear renaissance momentum is solid.
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