매크로 컨텍스트
Semiconductor Packaging Value Chain
핵심 동인
- Global #1 in TC Bonders for HBM
- SK hynix supply share expanding to 60%
- Micron supply expansion
- HBM demand = direct TC Bonder demand
리스크
- Excessive dependence on SK hynix
- Competitor catch-up (ASM Pacific)
- HBM demand slowdown reducing equipment investment
- Small-cap volatility
애널리스트 컨센서스
최저 46,000 KRW최고 220,000 KRW
현재가컨센서스 목표가
2026. 6. 16. 기준
| 증권사 | 애널리스트 | 목표가 | 투자의견 |
|---|
투자 기간: 12개월
모니터링 트리거
핵심 지표
- TC Bonder order trends
- SK hynix/Micron equipment delivery schedule
- HBM capex scale
- Global market share
리뷰 트리거
- HBM capex reduction announcement
- Competitor TC Bonder mass production news
- SK hynix equipment diversification
무효화 조건
- TC Bonder technology alternative emerges (full transition to hybrid bonding)
- Key customer loss
- Structural decline in HBM demand
노트 타임라인
진입
2026. 2. 22. · NewMoneyMoves AIGlobal #1 position in TC Bonders confirmed. SK hynix supply share maintained at 60%. Micron supply expanding. Narrow consensus range due to limited analyst coverage.
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Comments
생성: 2026. 2. 22.수정: 2026. 2. 24.가격 기준: 2026. 6. 16.