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Newmoneymoves Research · Coverage

Coverage —
Published names return tracker

Equal-weight backtest · Coverage
+4.2%vs KOSPI -10.5% · S&P 500 +3.7%
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20 covered names · equal-weight backtest from publication dates · as of 2026-08-03 — full methodology disclosed

See full coverageSee the latest reports
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Coverage portfolioKOSPIS&P 500
13 themes · 131 stocks · 93 reports
Stocks →Crypto →
01Special
Theme Deep Dive🔬Advanced105 min read

The AI infrastructure trade is now repriced not by 'which theme you belong to' but by 'who gets paid first and who is left holding only a claim.' In July 2026, after a record momentum-factor liquidation and the Kimi K3 shock, the credit market has split the same hyperscalers' default insurance threefold while the equity market still calls them one bucket. Even within 'memory,' an LTA-protected contract asset and a spot-exposed asset sit at different points in the payment order; even within 'power,' an equipment maker paid on delivery and an SPV that recovers via rent sit at opposite ends of the spectrum. This report adds a vertical axis dividing prepaid from deferred to the four-tier settlement system, dissecting the payment structure of the AI infrastructure stack.

HHaelangdal·Jul 21
Key Numbers
The payment gapTop-5 hyperscaler 2026 capex ~$…
Bond issuance
24/7 LIVE

Live Market

Core instruments moving 24/7 via tokenized perpetuals — even on weekends and holidays

Full weekend RWA dashboard
Auto-refresh every 15s · Hyperliquid xyz perpetual mark
DATA CONTROL

DATA TERMINALS

Pick a metric, jump into its terminal — see them all in the hub

OPEN HUB
Memory Big-3

Samsung·SK hynix·Micron — DRAM & NAND

+60%DRAM contract price QoQ
OPEN LIVE
Trade & Export Nowcast

Korea customs exports + Taiwan AI-chain monthly revenue — one terminal

$41.2BKorea semi YoY +176% · Taiwan AI-chain +61%
OPEN LIVE
MoneyFlow 3D

AI datacenter backlog vs energized GW — 3D map

7.9 GWFrontier live total
OPEN LIVE
AI Infra Map

NVIDIA rack BOM + 9-layer AI value chain

$3.1MGB200 NVL72 rack total
OPEN LIVE
CAGR Explorer

AI-infra segment CAGRs & chokepoints by layer

85%top segment CAGR
OPEN LIVE
AI Shortage

Verbatim shortage quotes from earnings calls

42verbatim shortage quotes
OPEN LIVE
Guru 13F

Wall Street giants' SEC 13F top positions

28인Wall St. gurus · 13F
OPEN LIVE
Leverage

US margin debt & Korea credit — leverage gauge

4.1%US margin debt/GDP · median 1.5%
OPEN LIVE
AI Macro Data Terminal

Country indices, AI-company EPS & CapEx + JARVIS insights

$501BAI 20-co 2025 CapEx consensus
OPEN LIVE
Crypto Market

Major-coin prices, kimchi premium, perp funding & RWA perps

OPEN LIVE
KOSPI Drawdown

45y of max drawdowns, rolling 2-mo declines & run-ups

-28.5%off the high · rolling 2-mo in top 1.62% ever
OPEN LIVE
Regime Monitor

Cross-asset sync, KRW-DXY correlation & rate beta on one board

OPEN LIVE
Memory 12MF P/E

Forward P/E decomposition & trailing bands — Samsung·SK hynix·Micron

OPEN LIVE
M7 Cash Flow

Quarterly OCF, capex & FCF for M7 + Oracle, cloud growth and guidance verdicts

OPEN LIVE
Earnings Tracker

Quarterly revenue, EPS & cash flow for 25 names — surprises and source reconciliation

8/12of the latest reports beat EPS consensus
OPEN LIVE
Korean Retail in US Stocks

Depository custody & net-buy top 10 — single stocks, ETFs, leveraged ETFs

10.4%leveraged ETFs in the custody top 50
OPEN LIVE
Daily QuizQUIZ

Samsung's peer-valuation normalization scenario:

Pick an answer to reveal the explanation

02SPOT
03Editorial
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~$28B/yr avg (2020–24) → $121B …
Hyperscaler CDSAlphabet 32bp vs Microsoft 85.7…
Private creditAUM $500B (10 yrs ago) → $2.1T;…
Scenarios as ranges and triggers — no probability-weighted targets.
Editorial Tracksubjective analysis · theses · metaphors

Perspectives.

One in front, the rest in 3D — rotate through.

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The Unwind of Japanese Money — How Yen Strength Travels Into US Treasuries and Risk Assets
DEEP DIVE🔬Advanced
Aug 1·38 min

The Unwind of Japanese Money — How Yen Strength Travels Into US Treasuries and Risk Assets

A joint US-Japan intervention at a four-decade low, a rate gap collapsing from the Japanese side, and the changed composition of a 2.5160 trillion dollar stock — the sequence of the unwind and where to confirm it

Who Gets Paid First
DEEP DIVE🔬Advanced
Jul 21·105 min

Who Gets Paid First

Dissecting the payment structure of the AI infrastructure stack — prepaid vs. deferred

A Comparative Study of Memory Cycles — Five Winters, and a Sixth Question
DEEP DIVE🔬Advanced
Jul 20·96 min

A Comparative Study of Memory Cycles — Five Winters, and a Sixth Question

1996 DRAM, 2001 optical, the 2018 peak, the 2023 downturn, 2025 DeepSeek — re-verifying five collapses with one yardstick: no winter was ever caused by dying demand. The 2026 coordinate is a late upcycle overlapping a leading equity correction

Anatomy of a Deleveraging — When Korea's Leverage Curb Lands on the Momentum Unwind
DEEP DIVE🔬Advanced
Jul 16·16 min

Anatomy of a Deleveraging — When Korea's Leverage Curb Lands on the Momentum Unwind

How a 30m-won cash barrier reorders flows: the upside pipe, the downside amplifier, and the balloon across the Pacific

ChangXin Memory (CXMT) — The Price of the Listing Venue: Deconstructing China's DRAM Champion IPO
DEEP DIVE🔬Advanced
Jul 15·36 min

ChangXin Memory (CXMT) — The Price of the Listing Venue: Deconstructing China's DRAM Champion IPO

A record 57.9-billion-yuan STAR Market raise with a 6% day-one float by design — what sets the opening price is neither DRAM nor HBM but the listing venue itself. The premium expires in July 2027, when the lockups come off

Arbitrage Opportunities
05Today

Daily
News.

2026-08-03

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KOSPI -5.12% to 6,257 — Pullback After Record Surge

Foreign and institutional selling clawed back part of the record gain while the KOSDAQ rose 2%.

Amazon Tops $3 Trillion — CSP-Winner Setup Confirmed

Amazon jumped 4.6% to cross $3 trillion for the first time as the S&P 500 closed above 7,600.

Trump Cancels Iran Strike — Oil Drops 5%

News of revived talks knocked oil down 5%, supporting risk appetite.

Dollar-Won at 1,429.8 — Squeeze-Driven Dollar Weakness

The dollar-won fell 5.8 won to 1,429.8 as yen-led dollar weakness ran on.

+1 more issues

The KOSPI caught its breath, giving back 5.12% to 6,257. Amazon crossed $3 trillion for the first time and the S&P 500 closed above 7,600, confirming the CSP-winner setup after the unwind.

Trump's canceled Iran strike sent oil down 5%, adding fuel to the rally.

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Who Gets Paid First

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LIVE· MARKET BRIEFING

haelangdal Market Briefing

Market notes

View all →
8/4 22:12 KST#엔개입#공조#위안화#광트랜시버

베센트의 네 문장 — 경색의 달러 약세가 공조의 약세로 바뀌는 순간

Korean original (English coming soon)

미 재무장관 베센트가 미·일 공동 엔 매수 개입을 공식 확인했다. 엔은 "상당한 저평가" 상태였고, 개입의 목적은 일본 방어가 아니라 아시아 안정화라고 했다. 위안화도 저평가라며 절상을 요구했고, 원화 변동성을 직접 거론했다. 여기에 호르무즈 해협 관련 합의 도출, 그리고 일본의 해외자산 축적이 지속 가능하다는 발언까지 — 네 문장이 한 인터뷰에서 나왔다.

Related:
8/3 23:00 KST#달러약세#엔캐리#CSP#캐펙스

두 개의 달러 약세 — 시장이 캐펙스 둔화를 프라이싱할 때 CSP가 서 있는 자리

Korean original (English coming soon)

시장이 지금 프라이싱하는 가정은 하나다. 캐펙스 둔화. 메모리와 전력 주가는 이동평균을 이탈해 하락 일변도인데, 두 산업 모두 공급은 수년치가 팔려 있다. 팔린 물량과 떨어지는 주가가 공존하려면, 시장은 최종 지불자인 CSP의 지갑이 닫힌다는 쪽에 서 있어야 한다. DRAM 계약가 상승률이 1분기 +90%대에서 3분기 +13~18%로 감속한 것이 그 프라이싱의 근거다.

7/31 22:20 KST#엔캐리#미국채#AI크레딧#유가

엔 캐리 되감기와 AI 크레딧 — 일본의 미국채가 구두 개입에서 멈춰야 하는 이유

Korean original (English coming soon)

일본은 미국채 최대 해외 보유국이다. 어제 엔·달러는 BOJ 동결에도 QT 강화 시그널과 개입 의심 속에 장중 158선까지 밀렸다. 이 되감기가 구두 개입 선에서 끝나기를 바란다.

Haelangdal· Founder Analyst
Read full briefing
Go Deeper

The Unwind of Japanese Money — How Yen Strength Travels Into US Treasuries and Risk Assets

Report · 38 min
Microsoft — Azure and AI software scale together
Google — AI cloud backlog drives re-rating
Haelangdal· Founder Analyst
Read full briefing
DeeperThe Unwind of Japanese Money — How Yen Strength Travels Into US Treasuries and Risk Assets
Haelangdal· Founder Analyst
Read full briefing
DeeperThe Unwind of Japanese Money — How Yen Strength Travels Into US Treasuries and Risk Assets